NFL Betting - False Favorites and Top Under Dogs For Week 6

Los Angeles Rams players in action

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, October 11, 2016 10:08 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 11, 2016 10:08 PM GMT

Time to move ahead in NFL football selections to this week and we have really gotten off to a hot start. Join expert capper for his weekly section on top dogs and false favorites to get your NFL picks ready.

 

I have been quite fortunate, posting a 13-2 record to date for this specific article. For this week, I've gone over the NFL betting odds at A+ rated Bookmaker to come up with three more releases hoping to uncover more winners in NFL Week 4.

Here is what I have for NFL Week 6 predictions.

 

Top Dog - Bengals Have Bite in Brady Town

Tom Brady was ready from opening whistle in the first start of the season against Cleveland, while Cincinnati was down 28-0 at Dallas one minute into the second half. While this seems like an impossible situation for the Bengals, I see them playing with New England here. Cincinnati has been off kilter all year and lacked usual aggressiveness. Nothing like a Grade-A conference opponent who is capable of destroying you to bring out your best, after a completely embarrassing performance. While Brady was superb, he's still 39, and Father Time is undefeated and my feeling is he's not as sharp this week and will take the +9 points here, and really will be on the outlook for double digits.

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False Favorite - Tennessee Too Large a Favorite

Cody Kessler is expected back at quarterback and Josh McCown might be available for Cleveland, but football bettors are undeterred and have moved the Tennessee from -6 to -7.5 against Tennessee. I'm having a hard time thinking Tennessee should be this large a favorite against the Volunteers, let alone a professional team. The Browns were beat up by the combination of Belichick and Brady, but nobody is going to put those two names in the same sentence with Mularky and Mariota, unless were are talking opposites. At over a touchdown, I will not ignore the Titans are 2-10 ATS in last 12 outings.

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Top Dog - Los Angeles Nicely Situated For Trip To Motor City

You are probably wondering why I hated on the Rams last week and played Detroit and now am flip-flopping on both teams. Here is why, last week to me both were in situations that worked either for or against them. This week, we realize the Lions are still not a very good team and long term are 56-82 ATS as favorites. Let's look at Los Angeles, they are a last in total offense and scoring in the NFL and it's defensive line is in tatters with injuries. Yet, the Rams are only a field goal underdog on the road. Consider this, when the line is +3 to -3 for the away team and they are scoring 17 or fewer points per game, teams like L.A. are 40-14 ATS.

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