NFL Betting - False Favorites And Top Dogs For Week 8

Oakland Raiders player greeting coach

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, October 25, 2016 6:16 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 25, 2016 6:16 PM UTC

With only 13 games this week, betting football becomes more challenging this week. More research is required as just trusting intuition or judgment is not enough if you expect to cash your NFL picks.


Last week we were 17 seconds away from another perfect week, but Mathew Stafford spoiled the fun, making us 2-1 and a still extremely sharp 16-4-1 (80%) for this article.

When breaking down the NFL odds at A-rated Intertops, where you should check out great first-time bonus sign ups, I will admit, this has been the most difficult week since Week 1 of the season.


Top Dog - Chargers Give Broncos Hard Time in Denver Again

The common thought process is with Denver at home and having played San Diego just 17 days ago, they will want to put a hurt on Chargers. Maybe they do, yet something tells me the Chargers will come in with ample confidence. San Diego is suddenly winning games they were used to losing and are 5-2 ATS this season. Phillip Rivers and his offense are averaging 29.4 points a game, while Denver has not tallied that many point since Week 3 and the Broncos passing offense has not broken 220-yard barrier in the same span of time. With Rivers and company 7-1-2 ATS at a Mile High the last decade and the visitor 9-2-1 ATS in this series of late, I will gladly take six points with the Bolts for my NFL week 8 picks.

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Top Dog - Ride the Tide with the Raiders

The Oakland road express continues to pick up steam and going from a pick to +1.5 is advantageous for the Raiders. Coach Jack Del Rio's crew is 10-2 ATS on the road and a perfect 8-0 ATS as away team catching digits. Give Del Rio a ton of credit in convincing his young squad they can be road warriors. While this is no easy assignment with consecutive games in the Sunshine State, seemingly improving Tampa Bay is like the Raiders at home, with an atrocious 3-15 SU and ATS since 2014 at Raymond James Stadium. Oakland Outright!

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False Favorite - Kansas City Suffers Clumsy Loss in Indianapolis

I have been talking all season about various platforms about below average Indianapolis roster. Against Kansas City it will be more of the same with the Chiefs favored on the road. However, Kansas City is hardly a dynamic offensive team at 22.7 PPG, which I believe allows the Colts to hang around. Next, let's factor in the Chiefs are 1-5 SU in Indy and Andrew Luck is back to old self despite a lousy offensive line and he has 12 fourth quarter or OT comebacks already in his career. Finally, with K.C. favored, they are facing a team that is 10-0 ATS as a home underdog, with NINE outright wins. The Chiefs are false favorites.

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