NFL Betting - False Favorites And Top Dogs For Week 17

Chicago Bears players

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, December 28, 2016 4:04 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 28, 2016 4:04 PM UTC

This week we wrap up the regular season and betting NFL this week can be harder than watching entire FOX's Pitbull's New Year's Eve Revolution special, even with champagne.

After several below average weeks we got back on the winning track and according to Peter and Mike from the Odds Couple video, we are sitting at 26-21-1 ATS choosing false favorites or top underdogs.

Went to one my favorite books, A-rated Intertops, where they have great first-time bonus sign ups, to pick apart the odds and this is what I like for this challenging week for NFL picks.


Top Dog - Chicago Bears

Minnesota is the sixth team in the past 26 years to miss the playoffs after a 5-0 start. No question the Vikings offense was depleted by injuries, but the replacements were not close to good enough, which included Sam Bradford. Minnesota might be 12-4 ATS at home the last two years, but are they even listening to coach Mike Zimmer anymore? The Bears have not won many games but were competing until last week, there first spread loss in six games. With the Vikings coming apart at the seams, I'll take the points with more interested Chicago squad, who is 8-0 ATS after three or more consecutive losses since 2014. Also, recommend the OVER on turnovers for prop bet with Bradford and Matt Barkley attempting completions.


Top Dog - New Orleans

A pretty strong case can be made Atlanta is an underappreciated team, as they look to lock up the second seed in the NFC. The Falcons average NFL-best 33.5 PPG and are second in the league in point differential, which most do not realize. However, Atlanta does not have to destroy New Orleans, they just have to beat them. The Saints after defeating Tampa Bay last week talked about not wanting to finish 7-9 for a third straight season and going all out against the Dirty Birds. With New Orleans currently at +6.5, I would wait to see if you can find a +7 or better and know the underdog is a bedrock solid 14-3 ATS in this series.


Top Dog - Oakland Raiders

The Raiders suffered a devastating blow in losing Derek Carr. This is ultra-important game for them this week because a win gives them the No. 2 seed in the AFC, a bye week to further develop Matt McGloin as new starting quarterback. Denver is done and will not defend Super Bowl title. Rumors have rookie Payton Lynch either starting or seeing time with Trevor Siemian for the Broncos, thus, any thought of Denver going all out to ruin Oakland's playoff plans seem optimistic rather than realistic. Look for the Raiders to run right at Denver's porous run defense and improve to 10-1 ATS as road underdogs.

comment here