NFL Betting - False Favorites and Top Dogs For Week 14

Baltimore Ravens Players

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, December 6, 2016 8:45 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 6, 2016 8:45 PM UTC

We are down to crunch time in professional football with four weeks remaining and if you are .500 or down a little for betting NFL football, it is time to make your late push just like the pros.

After a great start to the season for NFL picks, I have cooled considerably and now stand at 22-16-1 ATS for the season. Like I just mentioned, it is now up to me to up my game here at for this article and accompanying Odds Couple video.

Went to one my favorite sportsbooks, A-rated Intertops, where they have great first-time bonus signups, to survey the NFL odds and this is what I have.


False Favorite - Carolina Not Dressed for Success

Carolina said they were prepared for two-game business trip at Oakland and Seattle, which was going to bring them back into NFC South discussion. Instead, other than 18 minutes in Oakland, the Panthers played as non-caring as a trip to Disneyland. Carolina certainly was not dressed for success, just ask Cam Newton, and I don't see much motivation for a team that is 2-7-1 ATS as a favorite. San Diego thought they were poised for late season run, but after loss at home to Tampa Bay, that will not happen. When thinking about the Chargers, the immortal words of Yogi Berra come to mind, "They (the Chargers in this case) play good enough to lose." At least San Diego is 6-0 ATS away off a home setback and gets the victory.

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Top Dog - Cardinals Full of Surprises

Arizona finally got off the mat and showed some gumption in defeating Washington, while Miami played like Cleveland in having six-game winning streak stopped in decisive fashion in Baltimore. The Cardinals are still talented and alarming blowouts like the Dolphins suffered are thought to be warning signs and Miami has slipped from -2.5 to -1. Fins coach Adam Gase was schooled by John Harbaugh last Sunday and Bruce Arians has to like the fact the Miami secondary has been lit up like a Christmas tree in permitting 325.6 yards passing in the last month when not facing a rookie quarterback. Listen to this, Arizona is +72 in yards differential and Miami is -45. With the Dolphins 0-10 ATS in recent December outings, the Cardinals have money grab as top dog.

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 Top Dog - Ravens Not Afraid of Patriots

While many opposing teams are intimidated when playing against New England, particularly on the road, Baltimore is not one of them. The Ravens have been an underdog all but once against New England since 2004, yet has a respectable 5-4-1 ATS versus the Patriots. Baltimore's physical style has bothered the Brady Bunch often enough and they are quite adept at getting into Tom Brady's head, as they drive the pocket back and end up around his feet, which he hates since blowing out knee years ago. Part of Baltimore's success is Joe Flacco throwing deep to right where the numbers are on the field and for whatever reason, this has worked against the Patriots. With the road team 6-0-1 ATS recently, including three playoff confrontations, and Baltimore 9-2 ATS on Monday's, I'll grab seven points.

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