NFL Betting - False Favorites And Top Dogs For Week 12

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, November 22, 2016 8:21 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 22, 2016 8:21 PM UTC

We have a special Thanksgiving football article and video here at SBReview, thus, for betting NFL football, all our attention for this one piece will have to be with the Sunday action.


For our NFL picks, we fell below 66.6 percent for the first time all season and stand at a still outstanding 21-11-1 against the spread. The mission for this week will be to climb back over that percentage with our three picks for this article.

With 13 games having NFL odds to choose from this week, went to at A-rated Intertops, where they have great first-time bonus signups, check them out, and really want to post third 3-0 week for this Sunday!


False Favorite - Atlanta Squeaks By Arizona

All signs point to comfortable Atlanta victory over Arizona. The Falcons are off a bye week, the Cardinals are 1-2-1 and 0-4 ATS in their most recent outings and lost last week because of missed holding call which turned into a 100-yard Pick 6 and a 104-yard kickoff return. But let's consider Atlanta is still has a mediocre defense and will see a large helping of running back David Johnson going against an average Falcons run defense and 31st rated pass defense. Everyone understand Atlanta plays better in the Georgia Dome, but they are 2-11 ATS as home favorites since 2014, which for my money makes them a false favorite for week 12 NFL picks.

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Top Dog - Cleveland a Top Underdog?

No, I have not been drinking on the job, just playing a hunch. It is a given Cleveland stinks, but it is as hard to lose 16 straight games in a single season as to win the same amount. The Browns will have the their best option at quarterback in Josh McCown which improves their chances. Also, let's look at the Giants, with Pittsburgh, Dallas, Detroit, Philadelphia and Washington remaining on the schedule, where does Cleveland fall in order of importance? I am fully aware the Browns are 2-9 ATS, losing by 12.8 PPG, but I am also very aware the G-Men's seven wins have been by minuscule 3.4 points a game, which leads me to think Cleveland, like Jim Carrey in 'Dumb and Dumber', has a shot.

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Top Total - Chiefs vs. Broncos Total Going in Right Direction

The Kansas City offense is not getting it done, which is precisely why they lost to Tampa Bay. The Chiefs are 24th in total offense and not generating many big plays, having to settle for far too many field goal attempts. With Jeremy Maclin in and out of the lineup, Kansas City still does not have enough wide receivers to scare opposing teams. This has contributed to K.C. being 8-2 UNDER and the total sinking to 39.5. The Denver defense is not quite as good as last year's for different reasons, yet still a strong group. With Trevor Siemian playing about as well as could be hoped for and the offensive line middle of the road, big plays are hard to come by and this seems like low-scoring battle and I'll support the UNDER.

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