NFL Betting Expert Predictions - Jets Covering vs. Cleveland Browns - Week 8

Ryan Fitzpatrick

Wednesday, October 26, 2016 2:10 PM GMT

The New York Jets are 2.5 point road faves for Sunday's game against the Cleveland Browns, but it's a limited opening on the NFL odds board with Cleveland's QB in doubt.

Record: 14-10-1 ATS, 4-7 Totals

By now, you're probably aware the NFL is a violent place. Quarterbacks are being chewed up and spat out more quickly than ever before – just ask New York Jets QB Geno Smith. He didn't even make it through the first half of last week's game against the Baltimore Ravens before he tore his right ACL.

At least Ryan Fitzpatrick got his starting job back. He led the Jets (2-5 SU and ATS) to a 24-16 comeback victory as 2.5 point home faves, and Fitzpatrick will get the nod again this Sunday when New York visits the Cleveland Browns (0-7 SU, 2-5 ATS), beginning at 1:00 p.m. Eastern on CBS. But who will start at quarterback for the Browns? And does it even matter?

 Hogan!

 

Of course it does. As we go to press, only a small handful of books  have published their NFL odds (editor's note: at the time only BetOnline had posted a line), with New York favored by 2.5 points. The Browns have already used six quarterbacks this year, and No. 7 could be waiting in the wings; on Monday, Cleveland claimed undrafted rookie Joe Callahan from the Green Bay Packers. He's expected to back up Kevin Hogan this Sunday, with Hogan taking over for the injured Cody Kessler (concussion), and Josh McCown (collarbone) still not healthy.


But it this actually how things will go down? Kessler is in concussion protocol after getting drilled in last week's 31-17 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals (–11 at home), but Kessler wants to play Sunday, and it's possible he'll be cleared in time. Also, coach Hue Jackson says that McCown “has a chance” to face the Jets. He's the best choice of anyone Cleveland has available, but the team has already said that Kessler is the starter going forward, regardless of McCown's condition. Tank Time, anyone?

Hogan actually did a decent job in relief versus the Bengals, but most of his positives were on the ground, where he rushed for 104 yards and a touchdown on seven carries. Through the air, Hogan was 12-of-24 for 100 yards and two picks. Suffice to say the former four-year starter at Stanford isn't likely to move the needle this week. With Fitzpatrick suitably cheesed off and motivated to prove the Jets wrong for benching him, and McCown not starting for Cleveland, we'll gladly put New York in our NFL picks for a small wager.

Remember to drop by SBR's list of the best-ranked bonuses, and find out which of the top rated sportsbooks is offering the best deals!

Free NFL Pick: Jets –2.5Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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