NFL Betting Expert Picks Chiefs Against The Spread Over Saints

Alex Smith

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, October 18, 2016 7:50 PM GMT

NFL betting expert Ross Benjamin previews Sunday’s game between New Orleans and Kansas City. Ross has a superb ATS angle and pick on this contest. Go inside to read this extremely insightful NFL betting article.

The Author’s Independently Documented NFL Record

SBR writer and renowned sports handicapper Ross Benjamin is currently ranked the #7 NFL handicapper in North America with a 22-13 ATS (62.9%) record.

 

NFL Week 7 Betting Odds: New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City will host New Orleans on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. This will be the first meeting between these teams since 9/23/2014. On that day, Kansas City walked away with a 27-24 win, and did so as a 6.0-point road underdog.

Current (10/18) NFL betting odds at Intertops.com has Kansas City installed as a 7.0-point favorite, and there’s a posted total of 50.0. Intertops.com is presently offering new customers 100% cash bonuses on initial deposits of up to $100.

 

Saints in Unfavorable Betting Situation

New Orleans is coming off a thrilling 41-38 win as a 3.0-point underdog over Carolina. Unfortunately for the Saints, since 2010, any away underdog of 7.0 or more, coming off a home underdog straight up win in which they scored 35 points or more, resulted in those away underdogs going 0-11 ATS. The average margin of loss in those contests was a mammoth 22.3 points per game.

 

Profitable Non-Division Home Team

After starting the season with 3 consecutive losses, New Orleans has bounced back with 2 straight wins, and enters this week with a 2-3 (.400) record. Since 2014, Kansas City is 5-0 SU&ATS in non-division home games against opponents with a .400 or better win percentage, and had an average victory margin of 15.0 points per contest.

 

Superb NFL ATS Betting Angle

By virtue of last week’s 26-10 win at Oakland, Kansas City improved to 3-2 on the year.

Any home favorite of 7.0 or more (Kansas City), possessing a .500 or better win percentage, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog straight up win by 18 points or less, and that opponent (New Orleans) has a win percentage of .153 or better, resulted in those home favorites going an extremely profitable 49-14 ATS (77.8%) since 2010.

It’s unusual to have so much supporting betting data that favors a home favorite of a touchdown or more. Nevertheless, that’s indeed the case for this specific game. With all things being considered, one of my early NFL week 7 predictions will be on this home favorite.

Remember to drop by SBR's list of the best-ranked bonuses, and find out which of the top sportsbooks is offering the top rated sportsbooks.

Free College Football Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -7Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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