NFL Betting: Expert Final Thoughts - Texans vs Broncos

Brock Osweiler Of Houston Texans

Monday, October 24, 2016 1:49 PM GMT

Monday Night Football heads to the Rocky Mountains for a big AFC battle between two 4-2 teams. Let’s handicap the Broncos vs Texans NFL odds and offer up a Totals pick.

 

NFL PICKS SEASON RECORD: 46-30-1

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. EDT) 

The defending Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos (4-2 SU/ATS, 140 PS-108 PA) welcome the Houston Texans (4-2 SU, 3-2-1 ATS, 108 PS-127 PA) to Sports Authority Field in Denver on Monday Night Football for a Week 7  AFC showdown and the return of Brock Osweiler to the Mile High City. The NFL Odds  have the Broncos as 7½ to 8½-point favorites with the Total ranging from 46 to 47. The 1st Half odds have Denver 4½-point favorites  with the 1st Half Total 20½ . The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook Advanced Lines also opened Denver 6½-point chalks.

 

Monday Night Football Trends, Other Series Trends, Texans vs. Broncos Pick

Getting the 8½ (points) looks so large with a team as promising as the Texans, but the memory of that 27-0 game in Week 3 at New England creeps in, reminding us the Texans (0-2 ATS on Road) may not be who we think they are. Houston has scored just 13 points on the Road, but in fairness to the Texans (80/1 to win Super Bowl, 5Dimes), they’ve had just 2 Road dates and played the two toughest teams in the NFL (Vikings, Patriots). And now, the nasty Altitude and dropping Temperatures (52° Forecast) of Denver. Fun.

The Monday Night Football Trends reveal the Texans 1-3 ATS as Road Underdogs, 1-7 their L8 games on MNF and 3-3 Road O/U on MNF with Denver a weak 8-16 ATS at Home Favorites, 1-6-1 ATS its L8 on Monday and 11-15 Home O/U. So both have sucked (ATS) on Mondays of late 2-13-1 ATS combined). The Broncos (+1850 to win Super Bowl, 5Dimes) are 12-5 ATS their L17 after a SU loss, 6-2-1 ATS their L9 overall and 2-1 ATS at Home this season after going 1-5-1 as Home Favorites in 2015 in Peyton Manning’s last season and a year Denver (+850 to win AFC at BetOnline—a sportsbook with an A+ grade and which offers a 50% Free Play Bonus—won the NFL championship.

Houston is 18-6-2 ATS their L26 after accumulating 350+ yards of Offense in their previous game, 5-2-1 its L8 against the AFC but just 1-4 ATS the L5 against teams with Winning Records. The Under is 10-4-1 the L15 Denver Home dates, 5-0 the L5 against a team with a Winning Record and 3-1-1 the L5 meetings in this series. Confucius say, 'Points will be scarce.'

 Predicted Final Score: Broncos 20 Texans 16Free NFL Picks: 1st Quarter Under 7½ Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes 

 

Free NFL Pick: 1st Half Under 20½  Best Line Offered: at BookMaker

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