NFL Betting Expert Final Thoughts For SNF: Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Houston Texans Cheerleader

Kevin Stott

Sunday, October 16, 2016 8:02 PM GMT

Week 6 Sunday Action comes to a close when the Texans host the Colts, in what should be a slow-starting game. Our expert handicapper Kevin Stott provides his insight and NFL pick.

 Texans Hosting Colts, Luck on Sunday Night Football in Big AFC South Clash

NFL PICKS SEASON ATS RECORD: 38-28-1

Sunday Night Football heads to BBVA Compass Stadium and Houston this weekend for a big AFC South NFL Week 6 date between Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts and Brock Osweiler and the Houston Texans in a game which seems more important to the 2-3 Colts than to the 3-2 Texans. And with Indianapolis winning the last two trips to The Lone Star State, the Trends back the visitors but the way Indianapolis has been playing, it’s hard to want to saddle up. Let’s handicap this SNF showdown and offer up a pick in what could be a slow-starting game with Luck up against the Houston D and Osweiler still raw in his position and making just his 6th start with his new team.

 

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (NBC, 8:30 p.m. EDT/5:30 p.m. PDT) 

The Houston Texans (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 82 PS-104 PA) welcome the Indianapolis Colts (2-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, 137 PS-148 PA) to BBVA Compass Stadium in Houston for Sunday Night Football in NFL Regular Season Week 6 and all Offshore sportsbooks currently have the Texans as 3-point (Bookmaker) favorites with the Total (Points) at 48 (Bookmaker) to 48½ at most others (Intertops)—bet up around 2 points from its opening 46. In the Money Line marketplace, Houston is priced at -325 (Pinnacle) t0 -360 range (Heritage) with Indianapolis highest takeback at +250 Bookmaker—an Offshore sportsbook which has a solid A+ grade here at SBR and which has a 50% Free Play Bonus (to $300)—as well as BetDSI and JustBet. The 1st Half odds see the Texans as 2-point favorites (Bookmaker) with the 1st Half Total at 24 (Bookmaker) and 24½ (BetOnline).

 

 

Sunday Night Football Trends, Series and Other Trends, Colts vs. Texans Pick

The Sunday Night Football Trends here heading into NFL Week 6 show Indianapolis to be an impressive 14-7 ATS on the Road and 12-9 as an Underdog on SNF with Houston 1-4 ATS at Home and 0-1 ATS as a Favorite. The Colts are 2-0 SU/ATS in the L2 in Houston (IND 27-20, IND 17-10) with both those games going Over the Total and the Over is 9-2 the L11 in Houston in this series. Also, Colts Overs are 4-1 this season, Texans games have gone Over 2 straight and the Over is 9-0 Houston’s L9 games in October.

Side-wise, Indianapolis is 17-6-1 its L24 vs. the AFC South, 4-10-2 its L16 in Week 6 and 5-1-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series while Houston has trended well after a poor performance—Week 5: Lost @ Minnesota, 31-13—with the Texans (80/1 to win Super Bowl) 39-19 ATS their L58 after scoring less than 15 points and 10-1 ATS their L11 when racking up less than 90 yards Rushing. Houston is 4-1 ATS the L5 Home games, 6-0 ATS its L6 vs the AFC South and 1-5 ATS its L6 Week 6 games. With Andrew Luck (15-15 ATS on Road), TY Hilton (Questionable) and Indianapolis (145/1 to win Super Bowl) still seeming to regress some and the Texans remembering Losses to Indy the L2 Home meetings, expect a better performance from DeAndre Hopkins and the hosts here in a game which may start sluggishly (13, 23 points scored in the 1st Half in 2 meetings in 2015).

 PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Texans 27 Colts 23SNF WEEK 6 NFL PICK: 1st Half Under 24½ Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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