NFL Betting - Who Will The Public Blindly Back In Week 9

Jason Lake

Wednesday, November 2, 2016 4:06 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 2, 2016 4:06 PM UTC

After his latest heroics, Dak Prescott has the Dallas Cowboys on top of the NFC. They'll be the fashionable football pick this Sunday against the Cleveland Browns.


Record: 16-10-1 ATS, 4-7 Totals

How about those Dallas Cowboys? They were at it again this past Sunday, beating the Philadelphia Eagles (+5 away) 29-23 in overtime and improving to 6-1 SU and ATS on the season. It looked for a while like Philadelphia was going to win this one, but Dak Prescott drove the 'Boys for the game-tying touchdown with just over three minutes left, then threw another TD pass in the extra frame after Dallas won the flip.

After that performance, team owner Jerry Jones said Prescott would get the start again this Sunday (1:00 p.m. ET, FOX) when the Cowboys visit the worst team in the league, the Cleveland Browns. You can rest assured the betting public will be all over Dallas like white on rice; the Browns (0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS) have already clinched their ninth straight season without a winning record. And they even have the Halloween-themed uniforms to match.

How to Be a ... Zillionaire!

Of course, you realize, this means we might have to put the Browns in our Week 9 NFL picks. We got away with one here at the ranch, recommending the New York Jets as 2.5-point road favorites in Cleveland – then the Browns pulled a fast one by naming Josh McCown as their starting quarterback. The Jets ended up winning 31-28, but if you took Cleveland +3 instead after McCown was given the nod, at least you got a push.

McCown had a decent game against the Jets, too: 25-of-49 for 341 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions – one of them off a deflection. Not great, but decent. Cleveland was up 20-7 at halftime before things fell apart; New York scored the next 24 points, but McCown drove the Browns for a last-minute TD plus a 2-point conversion to create a matador push at some books.

It's too bad the NFL odds for Cleveland didn't move to +3.5. But the New York Jets aren't a very popular team these days. The Cowboys definitely are, and there's every chance the betting public will dump a zillion dollars on Dallas this weekend, moving the line on the Browns from +7 at press time to +7.5 by kick-off. Cody Kessler (concussion) might get the start instead of McCown now that he's been cleared, so this would be a good spot anyway to exercise some patience. If McCown starts and the lines are favorable, jump in, and may the prolate spheroid be with you.


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