NFL Betting: Chiefs vs. Eagles Thursday Night Prop Picks

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, September 19, 2013 1:57 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 19, 2013 1:57 PM UTC

Tonight, it's KC vs.Philadelphia in Thursday Night Football. Follow our Week 3 NFL prop picks and let’s see what kind of betting value there is to be had.

For more info on this game, read our Chiefs vs. Eagles Opening Odds Report!

We cashed a nice night this past Monday to cap off our Week 2 NFL prop betting. Now Week 3 has arrived, and I have another three betting picks for you tonight. All of these NFL odds come from Bet365 Sportsbook.

3 Unanswered Scores

I have already come out and given my pick on the total in this game, and if you read that article, you’ll know I think this game is going to be a lot lower scoring than most are projecting. The Eagles’ offense played two very bad defenses to open the season, and now they face the Chiefs, and have to play them on short rest. KC’s defense is far superior to the 'Skins or Chargers, and in this game, if there are not three unanswered scores, we could net a profit of +135 tonight. The Eagles did not score three unanswered times last week against San Diego.

Kansas City’s defense is going to play the Eagles tough, and on the other side, the Chiefs’ best defense will be the running of Jamaal Charles tonight against a soft Philly defense. The Chiefs will want to control the time of possession in tonight’s game, and keep the host of Eagles playmakers watching on the side of the field. All of these things considered, I see this as a more back and forth game. The Chiefs aren’t powerful enough to score three unanswered, and the Chiefs’ defense is good enough to slow down Philly some.

NFL Pick: NO (+135)

Also, check out our piece on Betting the Spread in the Chiefs/Eagles game!

Number of Touchdowns – 5.5

Five and a half touchdowns is the total for tonight’s game with the actual game total being over 50 points. Since that number is up to over five, I think a bet on the 'Under' may be the safest. Also, at even money, the NFL betting value is there for a bet on the under as well. The Chiefs’ offense is far from prolific, and they will want a slower game tonight on the road. I could easily see them kicking a lot of field goals in this game, along with keeping the Eagles at bay.

I’m projecting a 24-20 final score tonight, which would be only five touchdowns. With both of these teams being on short rest in this game, scoring may not come until later in the game. I could see a very slow start for both clubs, and with the value being presented to us in the NFL odds, I am taking a shot here. Look for a lower scoring start to the game as well for all of you bettors who bet NFL quarters.

NFL Pick: Total TDs to go UNDER 5.5 (+100)

Finally, we tie it all up with our Thursday Night Football article!

Eagles Team Total – 26.5

I have already given you my projection on the final score, and that would mean that the ‘Under’ is the bet to go with the Eagles’ team total. Like I said, it would not surprise me at all if at the end of the first quarter, their had only been a few field goals scored. KC’s defense is going to put a lot of pressure on Michael Vick in this game, and as long as the Chiefs can contain LeSean McCoy at least a little bit, Philly won’t get into the upper 20s in scoring tonight.

With as bad as the Eagles’ defense is, I doubt Philly will get the chances they did against the Chargers and Skins. The Chiefs are going to eat as much clock as possible in this game, and it’s hard to score from the sideline. As long as their aren’t too many turnovers from KC, I really like 'Under' the Eagles’ team total for my sports picks.

NFL Pick: Eagles Team Total to go UNDER 26.5 

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