NFL Betting: Best Over/Under Teams from 2012-13

Steven Suarez

Thursday, February 7, 2013 9:27 PM UTC

Thursday, Feb. 7, 2013 9:27 PM UTC

It's about that time to look over what was another tremendously exciting NFL season to see where the OVER and UNDER hit the most.

We've already gone over the best and worst ATS performers, with a bunch of teams led by rookie QBs seeing themselves at the top. Indianapolis, Washington and Seattle all finished 11-5 ATS on the season.

Now we shift over to the O/U world.

Top OVER Teams

New England Patriots (O/U: 11-5)

We begin with the the least surprising entry: the Patriots. They ranked first in the league in total offense (427.9 yards per game) and points per game (34.8) despite numerous injuries to key players throughout the season.

Tom Brady finished with 4827 passing yards with 34 TDs against only eight interceptions, but it was New England's poor defense (#25 in NFL) that made it a profitable chice to add the Over to our NFL picks.

Denver Broncos (O/U: 10-5-1)

With Peyton Manning's arrival making an immediate impact, the Broncos quickly became a force to be reckoned with in the league. They went 13-3 SU overall, were a perfect 6-0 in the AFC West, but couldn't take care of Baltimore in the playoffs. 

Nonetheless, Manning led an offense that was ranked fourth in the NFL. Denver put up 30.1 points per game as the future Hall of Famer threw for 4659 yards and 37 touchdown passes. His final QB rating: 105.8. 

Detroit Lions (O/U: 10-5-1) 

The Lions may have gone just 4-12 SU overall, but they did make you money if you consistently added the Over to your sports picks

How come? Well, Detroit ranked third in the NFL in total yards per game (408.8), with Matthew Stafford making a concerted effort to help Calvin Johnson break the single-season receiving yard mark. It worked, but that doesn't change the fact the Lions were awful in general.

New Orleans Saints (O/U: 10-6)

The NFL odds makers aren't dumb. They know the Saints have one of the most potent offenses and a terrible defense. However, the lines still didn't end up being low enough in a lot of their games this season.

Averaging a gaudy 312.3 passing yards per game, Drew Brees guided an offense that was good for 28.8 PPG, the third-best mark in the league. Meanwhile, New Orleans ranked dead last in total defense (440.1 YPG allowed). 

Top UNDER Teams

Miami Dolphins (O/U: 5-11)

You knew what you were getting with the Dolphins. With an offense that ranked #27 in total yards, it was a surprise to see Miami score 20+ point on any given Sunday.

The Dolphins also had a solid run defense that helped keep them competitive for the most part, and that also played a hand in a lot of UNDERS coming through.

New York Giants (O/U: 5-11) 

Not the kind of follow-up act Giants fans could have wished for. A year after winning the Super Bowl, they stumbled in the closing stages of the season and missed out on a postseason spot.

Inconsistency was the primary issue. There were weeks where New York looked unstoppable (dominant wins over San Francisco and Green Bay for example) and weeks where everything fell apart.

Atlanta Falcons (O/U: 5-11)

One of the more surprising teams that were featured in a lot of cashed tickets for the UNDER was Atlanta. The UNDER went 6-1 in the Falcons' final seven regular season matchups. 

We tend to associate this team with pure offense, and rightly so, but there were plenty of games that ended up being won by Atlanta's opportunistic defense. In total, the Falcons gave up just 18.7 PPG. 

Cincinnati Bengals (O/U: 6-10) 

Though Andy Dalton and A.J. Green continue to be one of the best young QB/WR tandems in the league, the Bengals didn't get a lot of help elsewhere from their offense.

Plus, Cincinnati's defense improved dramatically. They allowed 319.7 yards per game, sixth-best in the NFL, and were the eighth-best scoring defense as well.

Be sure to read our NFL Picks: Super Bowl Future Odds 2013-2014

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