NFL Betting: Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants Picks

David Lawrence

Saturday, September 19, 2015 8:46 PM GMT

Giants be looking to bounce back on Sunday against an Atlanta offense that looked downright frightening at times against the Eagles. Read this betting preview as we serve a free NFL pick.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open: -2 -110 at Pinnacle
The Giants opened as 2-point home favorites according to the NFL odds, which is fair as the perception is that Atlanta is much better at home than on the road (which isn't all the way true: Atlanta is 8-12 SU at home in their last 20, and 6-14 SU in their last 20 on the road). But the line has moved to 2.5 for the Giants as Jones has a bit of a hamstring problem and while he'll probably play, when you look at the tape of what Jones did to Philadelphia's Byron Maxwell on Monday night, he is worth a half-point on his own, at least. Also, the Giants are being counted on bounce back after their late-game shenanigans against the Cowboys in which Eli Manning and Tom Coughlin looked like they haven't won two Super Bowls together.

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Injuries
Jones didn't practice and might not until gametime, but that's fine; the Falcons just need his hamstring close to 100%. Devin Hester also didn't practice with a toe problem, while Roddy White has an elbow issue and the latter is more likely to play. Devonte Freeman has been battling a hamstring problem since the preseason, which caused rookie Tevin Coleman to leapfrog him in the running-back pecking order, but he should play on Sunday.

Victor Cruz still isn't close to returning for the Giants because of his calf, and no one knows what is going on with Jason Pierre-Paul and what is left of his hand, so count those two out for the foreseeable future. The same goes for Jon Beason and his knee, while tight end Daniel Fells is out of his walking boot now, but he shouldn't be counted on for this week.

 

Trends
The Falcons have covered in four of their last six, and while much has been made of their road record, they've covered in six of their last 10 away from home. Meanwhile, the Giants are 5-5 ATS in their last five overall, but just 3-7 SU and at home, the Giants have posted records of 4-6 SU and 5-5 ATS in their last 10.

The Giants are 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS in their last 10 against the Falcons, but at home, they're just 3-5 SU and 2-5 ATS against Atlanta. Six of those eight games have come in under the total.

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