The South division in the AFC is a story of the haves and have nots, but it could also see a boost in production this season both SU and ATS in the NFL odds.
The Texans won this division by only one game this past season, and that was even after starting the season 11-1 SU. They lost three of their last four games, but the Colts were not quite good enough to catch them. Although they didn’t have much work to be done on offense, (their main issue of concern was how their defense collapsed at the end of last season) there is always room for improvement. They drafted DeAndre Hopkins to take over the slot receiver duties alongside Andre Johnson, and other than that, it all boils down to if Matt Schaub can lead this team to a Super Bowl. I think he can, but it will be more about the players around him. However, they have worked well on their offense this offseason, and they deserve a solid grade.
My Grade: B-
The Colts busted on the scene last year, but now with everyone seeing them coming, will they be as effective? I believe they will. The Colts have added another layer to their already potent offense by signing Ahmad Bradshaw this offseason, and along with bringing in Darius Heyward-Bay for some depth at WR along with Reggie Wayne and TY Hilton, this offense has a ton of weapons. Andrew Luck was 7th in the NFL in passing last season as he broke Cam Newton’s record for most passing yards in a rookie season, and with new options in the running and passing game, those numbers can only grow up. Indy is the first "A" I’ve given out this offseason, for their outstanding additions, and their extreme upside this season; so look for them when choosing your NFL picks.
My Grade: A
The Titans were struck with some injuries on offense last season, and they never recovered. Jake Locker was hurt about halfway through the season, although he was playing like crap when he was healthy. Kenny Britt missed a substantial portion of the season, and the other WRs could not pick up the slack when they had Matt Hasselbeck throwing to them. I think the Titans have upgraded their offensive line enough to where this offense will start to move again, but I have serious concerns about Locker and this passing offense. Because they added Shonn Greene and some new offensive lineman to Chris Johnson, this team is sitting on a B- just because of their likely good running game. However I need to see more.
My Grade: B-
The Jags weren’t awful on offense last season, but they were pretty close. Blaine Gabbert was playing better before he got hurt, and Maurice Jones-Drew was hurt basically the whole season. Both of these guys’ health are huge questions. Along with that, Justin Blackmon, their only real receiving threat is suspended for the first four games of the season, and behind these guys these is little to no depth. Cecil Shorts is great, guys, but he isn’t the loan answer on offense. While the Jags have been focused on defense, this offense has struggled, and if they want to pass Offseason Offense 101, they need to step up their game or their healing processes, one of the two.
My Grade: D+
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