NFL Betting: 5-Pack Of Value Picks To Maximize Profits On Week 17

LT Profits Sports Group

Friday, January 1, 2016 6:30 PM GMT

Here is a 5-Pack of NFL picks with value for Week 17, the final week of the regular season, highlighted by the Sunday Night Football contest to determine the NFC North Division title.

Sadly, the final week of the 2015 NFL regular season is now upon us, although there is still one unclaimed playoff spot in the AFC with the New York Jets and Pittsburgh Steelers battling for the final wild card spot. Technically, the Indianapolis Colts could also claim the AFC South, but that would require a combination of nine exact results, so we will go ahead and give that division to the Houston Texans.

 

Over in the NFC, all six playoff participants are known but two of them, the Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers, will determine the NFC North Division winner in a head-to-head battle on Sunday Night Football. That contest highlights our 5-Pack of NFL picks for this regular season ending Week 17.

Our final 5-Pack of the regular season contains four sides, evenly divided between two favorites and two underdogs, with the fifth selection being a total. And as has become our custom in recent seasons, all of these NFL odds come from Pinnacle.

 

Sunday, January 3rd
Cincinnati Bengals -10 (+109) Over Baltimore Ravens (1:00 ET): The Bengals missed a golden opportunity to clinch a first round bye in the NFL Playoffs with a 20-17 overtime loss to the Broncos on Monday night, but there is no shame in taking the Broncos into overtime at Denver and backup quarterback A.J. McCarron performed commendably while giving his team a chance to win, completing 22-of-35 passes for 200 yards and a touchdown without an interception. Frankly, we feel that this is a much easier assignment for McCarron and the Bengals, notwithstanding the Ravens shocking the world by upsetting the red-hot Steelers 20-17 at home last week as an 11-point underdog. Baltimore was already one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL even before a rash of injuries has this team in position for a very high draft pick as opposed to being the Super Bowl contender that some experts predicted before the season. With the Ravens long eliminated from playoff consideration, just about the last thing they had to look forward to was attempting to knock the hated Steelers out of the playoffs, and they went a long way toward accomplishing that with the shocker last week. We feel that home finale may have been the Baltimore Super Bowl, so we would not be at all surprised if the Ravens come out flat this week and the Bengals jump out to a big early lead, in which case Baltimore would have practically no incentive to fight back on the road while looking ahead to the off-season.

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Free NFL Pick: Bengals -10
Best Line Offered: at Heritage


Philadelphia Eagles +3½ (-110) vs. New York Giants (1:00 ET): This is a game that now has absolutely no playoff implications with the Eagles and Giants both eliminated when the Washington Redskins clinched the NFC East by beating the Eagles in Philadelphia last week. However, we are still intrigued with the Eagles as underdogs in this spot after they fired Coach Chip Kelly following that defeat, a coach that the players apparently had no respect for. We now expect to see a very loose Philadelphia team this week with Kelly gone, and remember that the Eagles manhandled the Giants 27-7 the first time the teams met this season back when the games still meant something. If the Eagles do come to play, they seem equipped to take advantage of a terrible New York defense that just allowed 49 points to a Minnesota Vikings team not exactly renowned for its potent offense, especially with Sam Bradford actually looking better as of late. That Giant defense is dead last in the NFL in both total defense and passing defense, as well as 30th in scoring defense allowing 27.1 points per game. Meantime, the Giants’ offensive line is a mess right now and rushing the passer has been a strong suit for a Philadelphia defense that has 35 sacks. Plus, Eli Manning could be a sitting duck without much support from a 26th ranked rushing offense averaging just 93.4 yards per game.

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Free NFL Pick: Eagles +3½
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline


Denver Broncos -9 (+100) Over San Diego Chargers (4:25 ET): Both the Denver Broncos collectively and quarterback Brock Osweiler individually overcame slow starts in a huge overtime win over the Bengals Monday night, putting Denver in a position where it can clinch a first round playoff bye with a win here and even has a chance at a one-seed should the New England Patriots get upset at Miami. The Broncos quickly got down 14-0 to Cincinnati and Osweiler looked tentative while seemingly worried about taking hits to his injured left non-throwing shoulder. But then Osweiler threw caution to the wind and had a great second half while leading Denver all the way back. He should excel right from the start this time, especially with the Chargers placing safety Eric Weddle on injured reserve this week, cosmetically with an ankle injury. The truth of the matter though is that San Diego was unhappy with Weddle remaining on the field during halftime two weeks ago to watch his daughter perform during a dance ceremony, and there are whispers that Coach Mike McCoy may have lost the locker room with his handling of the whole Weddle situation. The outlook for the Chargers here is not any brighter when they have the ball either, as their decimated offensive line is in shambles and the Broncos lead the NFL in sacks.

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Free NFL Pick: Broncos -9
Best Line Offered: at Bet365

 

San Francisco 49ers +3 (+105) Over St. Louis Rams (4:25 ET): This is another game that has no playoff implications, but we think this is a great spot to fade the Rams as road favorites. You see, St. Louis is another team not going to the playoffs and coming off of its personal Super Bowl, completing a totally unexpected season sweep of the Seahawks by winning at Seattle last week. We simply feel that the Rams left everything they had left to give this season on the field last week, and they now probably want to just get this season over with while finishing up in the road, quite possibly in their last game as the St. Louis Rams given their rumored move to Los Angeles. It is also interesting that the Rams elected to stay on the west coast this week after playing in Seattle and the team has treated this time as a vacation, taking in several sites and attending Golden State Warriors games. That does not sound like a team preparing to play one more game. The 49ers meanwhile at least continue to play hard, as they played the playoff bound Bengals tough here at home two weeks ago and then actually built a lead on the road at Detroit last week vs. a hot team in the Lions before fading late while finishing with 121 rushing yards on 23 carries (5.3 YPC). They could easily win this game at home with a similar effort, especially with the St. Louis rushing defense allowing 4.9 yards per carry over the past month.

 

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Free NFL Pick: 49ers +3
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker


Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers ‘Under’ 45½ (-105) (8:30 ET): This contest has been flexed to Sunday Night Football as while it is not quite a pseudo playoff game with both teams assured of playoff spots, the winner of this game will win the NFC North while the loser will be a wild card. Our interest here is in the total though. The Packers won the first meeting between these clubs this season in Minnesota 30-13, but those 30 points were a rarity this season for a Green Bay offense that has uncharacteristically struggled for the most part, and the weather here at Lambeau Field at night in early January does not figure to be as nice as it was that day. The reason for the Packer struggles most of the year has been an inconsistent receiving corps as Green Bay has missed Jordy Nelson much more than many expected, but now the offensive line has taken a hit too with injuries in recent weeks, and that depleted line allowed nine sacks in a 38-8 blowout loss in Arizona last Sunday. As for the Minnesota offense, it is no secret that its potential success begins and ends with Adrian Peterson, who is in the familiar position of leading the NFL in rushing with his 1418 yards on the ground entering the season’s final week. Minnesota underutilized Peterson in the earlier loss to the Packers when he carried the ball 13 times for 45 yards, so look for the Vikings to correct that here by giving him a heavier workload, thus helping the ‘under’ along with some time-consuming drives.

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Free NFL Pick: Under 45½
Best Line Offered: at Bovada