NFL 2016 Opening Game Predictions - ATS History Favors Dolphins vs. Seahawks

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, September 8, 2016 8:45 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 8, 2016 8:45 PM UTC

Our handicapping professional provides us with an intriguing betting preview on Sunday’s game between Miami and Seattle. Go inside to read this revealing article which concludes with an NFL pick against the spread

Rare Considerable Chalk in Home Opener
The Miami Dolphins and Seattle Seahawks will christen their 2016-2017 seasons against one another. The opening kickoff from Century Link Field in Seattle is slated for 4:05 PM ET. The last time these two teams squared off was in 2012, and Miami walked away with a 24-21 home win.

Current NFL betting odds at 5Dimes indicates that Seattle is an 11.5-point favorite, and the posted total is 44.0. Since 1980, this will be just the 30th time a team playing in a season opener has been a double-digit favorite. Those prohibitive favorites have gone 12-17 ATS to date. The underdog pulled an outright upset on 5 of those 29 occasions.


Recent Season Opening Game Histories
Miami has gone 3-0 SU&ATS during its last three season openers. Since 2007, Miami has opened a season on the road six times, and each one of those games went under the total.

Pete Carroll is about to embark on his 7th season as head coach of the Seattle Seahawks. You may be surprised to know, Seattle is just 3-3 in their previous six season openers, and all of those came under Pete Carrol’s watchful eye. However, Carroll and his Seahawks are a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in its home openers and won those contests by a substantial average of 20.0 points per game. As a matter of fact, since 2003, the Seattle Seahawks franchise is a remarkable 12-1 SU&ATS in home openers, and 11 of those 13 contests stayed under the total. Their only loss in that sequence came on 9/14/2008 in a narrow 33-30 defeat at the hands of San Francisco.  


NFL Betting Angle and Pick
Current NFL betting odds at 5Dimes has Miami installed as an 11.5-point underdog in this contest. Miami is coming off a 6-10 season, and Seattle has gone 22-10 over its last 32 games. The collection of this statistical data falls into a unique and extremely profitable opening game NFL betting angle.

Any road underdog of 9.5 or more (Miami), playing in their season opener, and they won 4 or more regular season games the year before, versus an opponent who’s won 16 or more of their previous 32 games, resulted in those road underdogs going 16-1 ATS since 1997. Those hefty underdogs happened to win 4 of those games outright as well.

Since 5Dimes is offering me by far the most favorable number for this underdog wager, it’s where I’ll be wagering on this game for one of my Sunday NFL picks. Besides, 5Dimes is among the best sportsbooks to do business with, and that’s courtesy of an exceedingly credible ratings guide.


NFL Football picks week 1: Miami Dolphins +11.5 
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011202, "sportsbooksIds":[19,169,1096,139], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

comment here