New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills - Prediction & Betting Odds For Week 2 Thursday Night Football 2016

Buffalo Bills team in action

Wednesday, September 14, 2016 4:34 PM GMT

The Jets look to avenge a playoff-dashing loss in last year's regular-season finale to the Bills when the two AFC East rivals clash on Thursday night in Buffalo. We predict the total may hold the most betting value. Check out our NFL pick here.

New York Jets (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)
The Jets would have made the playoffs for the first time since 2010 last season if it weren’t for the Bills. Buffalo bested New York 22-17 in the regular-season finale, snapping a five-game win streak and dashing any playoff hopes despite the team posting a 10-6 record.

Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick donated three interceptions to his former team in the Jets’ final three drives the last time these two met. Bills head coach Rex Ryan knows how to rattle the Harvard graduate. Fitzpatrick is just 2-8 SU as a starter against a Ryan-led team, scoring more than 17 points just three times.

Wide receiver Brandon Marshall had a huge day in last year’s Week 17 clash, gaining 126 yards and a touchdown on 8 receptions. He’s coming off a quiet season debut at against Cincinnati, catching three passes for 32 yards on eight targets in the 23-22 defeat.

The Jets will need to get Marshall more involved. They are 8-3 SU and ATS when the former Bears wideout catches six passes or more in a game. What bodes well for OVER bettors is that the offense averages 25.7 points per contest when he’s showing this kind of production, putting up 20 or more in all but two.

Running back Matt Forte did not find the end zone in the opener but proved to Jets fans he’s got plenty left in the tank. The nine-year pro, who turns 31 in December, touched the ball 28 times and picked up 155 total yards from scrimmage. Head coach Todd Bowles plans on feeding the workhorse just as much in Buffalo.

The Jets defense gives up 20.9 points on the road since Bowles took over, holding opponents to 91.1 yards rushing per game.

 

Buffalo Bills (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)
Buffalo didn’t have much rhythm on offense in its 13-7 season-opening loss to Baltimore. Quarterback Tyrod Taylor threw for 111 yards on 15 of 22 passes. The dual-threat option only managed 11 yards on five carries as well. The Ravens kept LeSean McCoy quiet too. The former Philadelphia running back picked up 58 yards and a score on 16 carries.  

Wide receiver Sammy Watkins could be the difference-maker on Thursday night. He lit the Jets secondary up in this meeting last season for 136 receiving yards on 11 catches. Expect the offense to roll out a similar game plan, complimented by few additions from the Bengals' blueprint in their 23-22 win over New York last Sunday. Cincy’s top wideout A.J. Green torched cornerback Darrelle Revis and the rest of the secondary countless times, reeling in a career-high 12 receptions.

Defensively, the Bills secondary is its strength. They held the Jets to under 200 yards passing in both matchups last season. It relies heavily on man-to-man coverage, anchored by stand-out corners Stephon Gilmore and Ronald Darby.

The line is entirely revamped with Kyle Williams back healthy and rookie fourth-round pick Adolphus Washington manning the front with Marcell Dareus serving a four-game suspension. It held the Ravens to 83 rushing yards after allowing 108 per game in 2015. The UNDER is 5-1 when the Bills hold opponents to 100 rushing yards or fewer under Ryan.

Bills backers and OVER bettors are hoping Buffalo can win the first half. A Ryan-led team is 39-14-1 ATS and 32-21-1 to the OVER when tied or winning at the break.

 

N.Y. Jets vs Buffalo Bills
The Jets are going to give up 20-plus points in this spot. The Bills have scored more than their projected team total in six of eight home games under Ryan. The difference-maker to the total will likely be New York’s offense. It managed just 9 yards on its first four possessions when these two met in January and watched from the sidelines a bunch. The Bills only accrued 297 total yards but conjured up a time of possession advantage of nearly 19 minutes. Expect Fitzpatrick and company to show greater efficiency, and control plays more. NFL betting odds are standing at 40 for totals. Over 40 is my recommendation for my Thursday Night football 2016 picks.

 

Free NFL Picks: Over 40 -105
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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