New Orleans Saints vs. Indianapolis Colts Week 7 Free NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Sunday, October 25, 2015 12:02 PM GMT

New Orleans is now 2-4 after a huge divisional win over Atlanta at home, but they have a huge test on Sunday on the road in Indianapolis, the Colts are 3-3.

Opening Odds & Line Movement

Open: -6 -105 at Pinnacle
The Colts opened up as 6-point favorites at home, but the NFL odds moved down to -5 and is now at -4.5 for Indianapolis at home. That is a bit of a slap in the face to the Colts, who were well in the game before that botched play against the Patriots, while the Saints certainly got up for their NFC South rivals from Atlanta, and that has apparently pushed the line more in their favor. The Colts should feel disrespected by this line, and it'll be interesting to see if they get any added motivation from it.

 

Injuries
The Saints lost T Andrus Peat to a knee injury, and he is expected to be out for 3-4 weeks. However, CB Keenan Lewis was eased back into the lineup after hip surgery in the preseason and the Saints will continue to increase his workload. Besides that, the Saints are pretty healthy.

The Colts don't have any injuries to speak of, or maybe they do, but the focus early in the week was on that fake punt that went terribly wrong. Luck looked recovered from his shoulder injury, so that is great news for the Colts, who need a win this week to shut some of the critics up.

 

Trends
The Saints have managed to cover in three of five games this season, and in two of their last five games on the road. The Colts have covered in just two of their last seven games overall, but they're 11-4-1 in their last 16 games at home.

New Orleans has also had the Colts' number over time as they're 7-2 SU in nine games against Indianapolis, going 6-3 ATS; they also won and covered when beating the Colts in Super Bowl XLIV. In Indianapolis, the Saints are 2-1 SU, but 1-2 ATS.

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