New England Patriots’ 2017 Schedule Analysis & Betting Predictions

patriots super bowl

Jay Pryce

Friday, April 21, 2017 6:22 PM GMT

Friday, Apr. 21, 2017 6:22 PM GMT

For the third year in a row, the Patriots are preseason betting favorites to win the Super Bowl. Their 2017 regular-season schedule suggests the road to the title game could be an easy one.

The NFL hates the Patriots, right? Well, their 2017 schedule is not indicative of this. Per Football Outsiders, the reigning Super Bowl champions have the easiest one in the entire league. Using their Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average metric, New England faces just one team projected to put up double-digit wins, the Steelers in Week 15. In fact, the advanced stats group predicts 10 opponents to have losing records.

Look at the Patriots’ schedule this way: They play three teams (Chiefs, Falcons, Steelers) owning an average scoring margin greater than 2.75 from last season. Including the playoffs and with Tom Brady under center, New England is 131-29 SU and 96-60-5 ATS vs. teams possessing a lesser differential. Another 12-win season or better is definitely on the radar.

NFL schedule-makers must have noticed the cupcake list, too, because they certainly make it more difficult for the Pats late in the year. Here’s some fuel for the conspiracy theorists: Beginning in Week 10, following the team’s bye, New England plays five road games in a six-week stretch. To make matters more challenging, the run kicks off in high altitude at Denver and at Mexico City's altitude vs. the Raiders the following week.

It should not come as a surprise to any NFL fan that oddsmakers have the Pats as favorites to repeat as Super Bowl champs. Top-rated online sportsbook Bookmaker list Brady and Co. at +444 odds as of this writing. To claim the conference, 5Dimes is dangling a price of +255. Love it or hate it, expect more Pats perfection in the upcoming season.

Here’s the Patriots’ 2017 regular-season schedule:

DATE
OPPONENT
SITE (H/A)
TIME (ET)
Sept. 7
Chiefs
H
8:30 p.m.
Sept. 17
Saints
A
1 p.m.
Sept. 24
Texans
H
1 p.m.
Oct. 1
Panthers
H
1 p.m.
Oct. 5
Buccaneers
A
8:25 p.m.
Oct. 15
Jets
A
1 p.m.
Oct. 22
Falcons
H
8:30 p.m.
Oct. 29
Chargers
H
1 p.m.
Nov. 12
Broncos
A
8:30 p.m.
Nov. 19
Raiders
Mexico City
4:25 p.m.
Nov. 26
Dolphins
H
1 p.m.
Dec. 03
Bills
A
1 p.m.
Dec. 11
Dolphins
A
8:30 p.m.
Dec. 17
Steelers
A
4:25 p.m.
Dec. 24
Bills
H
1 p.m.
Dec. 31
Jets
H
1 p.m.
comment here