NCAA Basketball Picks: Spotting Value with Quality Road Teams

Wednesday, February 25, 2015 5:01 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 25, 2015 5:01 PM UTC

In a ground-breaking statistical article, this NCAA Basketball handicapper takes a look at “The Roadrunners of College Basketball,” explaining this betting system which provides 70% winners.

<p style="text-align:center;"><iframe allowfullscreen frameborder="0" height="330" src="" width="560"></iframe></p> <p>This season, <a href="" target="_blank" title="Relive all of Joe Gavazzi's picks here">I have authored numerous articles</a> regarding NCAA Basketball teams’ performance on their home court.  This includes articles on the <a href="" target="_blank" title="Look to Teams with Perfect Home Records for NCAA Basketball Betting Value: History Proves These Streaks Won't Last">Undefeated Home Courts</a>, most recently updated, Monday, February 23<sup>rd</sup> 2015, as well as an article on “<a href="" target="_blank" title="Impressive Strategy to Apply to NCAA Basketball Picks: Fade the 'Homeless'">The Homeless</a>,” a late January article in which I analyze the failures of teams who had a home record of .500 or worse.  </p> <p>These are NCAA Basketball road teams who, through Sunday, February 22<sup>nd</sup>, have won 67% or better of their true road games in the college basketball season. As you can see below, the list is comprised of 22 college teams.  It includes varying <a href="" target="_blank" title="NCAA basketball odds updated in real-time">NCAA Basketball odds</a> pointspread records in the columns below. </p> <p>Following that chart, I will offer a mind-blowing conclusion that has resulted in a plethora of ATS winners. </p> <p align="center"> </p> <table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="line-height:normal;"> <tbody> <tr> <td> <p align="center"><strong>TEAM</strong></p> </td> <td> <p align="center"><strong>SU AWAY</strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>YTD</strong></p> </td> <td> <p align="center"><strong>ATS AWAY</strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>YTD</strong></p> </td> <td> <p align="center"><strong>ATS AWAY</strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>CON</strong></p> </td> <td> <p align="center"><strong>RD </strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>DOG</strong></p> </td> <td> <p align="center"><strong>P TO</strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>-5-</strong></p> </td> <td> <p align="center"><strong>-6+</strong></p> <p align="center"><strong>RF</strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Arizona</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-4</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">0-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-4</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Cal Davis</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">9-4</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">9-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">0-0</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Duke</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">7-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-4</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-4</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-3</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Gonzaga</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">11-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-5</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-5</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-5</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Harvard</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">8-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-5</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">0-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-1</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Hofstra</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">11-5</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">8-4</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">0-1</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Kentucky</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">8-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-4</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-4</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">0-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-4</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Louisville</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-5</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-4</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-3</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Mississippi</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">7-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">9-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-0</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Murray St</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">10-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">7-4</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-3</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">N Iowa</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">9-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">8-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-1</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Notre Dame</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-4</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-4</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-0</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">St Marys</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-0</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">SMU</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">7-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-7</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-5</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">0-4</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Tulsa</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">7-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-5</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-1</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Valpo</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">7-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">7-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-1</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Villanova</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">7-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">0-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-2</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Virginia</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">9-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">7-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">0-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-2</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">VCU</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">8-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-4</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-2</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Wichita St</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">9-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-5</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-4</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Wisconsin</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">8-1</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">6-3</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">3-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">0-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">2-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-3</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p align="center">Yale</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">10-5</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">9-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">5-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-2</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">4-0</p> </td> <td> <p align="center">1-0</p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <p>I will save you the trouble of adding up the columns in this chart.  The records are as follows:</p> <p>·         176-53 SU (76.9%)</p> <p>·         132-81 ATS (62%) for all results in pure road games</p> <p>·         92-57 ATS (61.7%) for all conference true road games</p> <p>·         38-17 ATS (69%) in the role of road underdog</p> <p>·         52-18 ATS (74.3%) in the role of road favorite to -5-</p> <p>·         42-44 ATS (48.8%) when favored by 6 or more points on the road</p> <p> </p> <p>As you can see from the numbers above, if we add up the results of these quality road teams in the role of road underdog or short road favorite, they are a mind-blowing 90-35 ATS, good for 72%  winning <a href="" target="_blank" title="Free NCAA Basketball picks">NCAA Basketball picks</a>!  I know that’s good enough for me, how about you?  With 2 weeks of road games still ahead, there is plenty of time for you to use the results of this article for some nice profit.  And, remember, once games switch to neutral courts in post-season play, the records of these quality road teams will hold them in good stead.  I will be joining the Roadrunners of College Basketball for the remainder of the season.  Will you?</p>
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