Must Win Situation For Texans & Ravens On MNF Showdown

Houston Texans

David Schwab

Friday, November 24, 2017 5:05 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 24, 2017 5:05 PM UTC

The Houston Texans and the Baltimore Ravens wrap up the extended Thanksgiving Holiday weekend this Monday night in an AFC tilt at M&T Bank Stadium that gets underway at 8:30 p.m. (ET) on ESPN. Both teams are in desperate need of win to stay in the hunt for a spot in the AFC playoffs.

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens

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Free NFL PIck: Houston +7Best Line Offered: at HeritageGame Overview

Houston comes into Monday night’s game at 4-6 straight-up with a 6-4 record against the spread after outlasting Arizona last Sunday 31-21 as a 2.5-point home favorite. This snapped a SU three-game skid and with the total going OVER 37.5 points. It has now gone OVER in six of the Texans’ last eight games. They will go back on the road with a 3-1 record ATS in their first four road games this season. Houston is 4-2 ATS this year when closing as an underdog.

Tom Savage has been back under center for the injured Deshawn Watson and he is coming off his most solid performance of the season. He completed 22-of-32 passing attempts for 230 yards and two touchdowns to help pace that win. Houston also got a solid effort from its running game with 134 yards and two more scores on 34 carries. On the year, the Texans are ranked 12th in the NFL in yards gained and their 26.7 points per game is ranked sixth.

The Ravens moved to an even 5-5 SU and 5-4-1 ATS buy shutting out Green Bay last week 23-0 as slight 2.5-point road favorites. The total easily stayed UNDER the closing 38-point line after going OVER in their previous five games. Baltimore is an even 2-2 ATS at home this season and it has covered in three of five games when closing as a favorite.

Credit the Ravens’ defense with last week’s win after forcing three interceptions and two fumbles to help keep the Packers out of the end zone. You really need to credit this side of the ball for the majority of Baltimore’s success this season given a points-allowed average of 17.1 that is third-best in the league. The Ravens’ offense on the other hand is way down the list in scoring with 21.3 PPG and it is dead-last in the NFL in passing yards a game behind veteran quarterback Joe Flacco.

Game Betting Trends

--The Texans have failed to cover in nine of their last 10 Monday night games and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five November games. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five AFC games.

--The Ravens have covered in the last six games in Week 12 of the season and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six Monday night games. The total has gone OVER in six of their last eight games coming off a SU win.

--The home team in this conference clash has covered ATS in four of the last five meetings with the total staying UNDER in four of those games.

NFL Pick

This Monday night’s AFC matchup comes down to Houston’s ability to move the ball down the field and score points against one of the toughest defenses in the league. It also comes down to Baltimore’s ability to stay out of its own way when its offense is on the field. The end result in light of SBR Odds current betting spread for this game should be Houston covering ATS with the seven points. You could also throw in a NFL pick on the OVER as a possible parlay play on a lower than expected total line.

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