Most Surprising Lines That Look Odd for Week 9

Kevin Stott

Monday, October 30, 2017 1:22 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 30, 2017 1:22 PM UTC

Let’s look at the four NFL Week 9 game lines that look the strangest, especially in the context of what we thought these numbers might actually be not so long ago on Opening Night and try to offer up some explanations why these sides are where they are, and if they may be some value early in the NFL betting week.

Los Angeles Rams (-3½) at New York Giants

This NFL inter-divisional meeting between the Rams (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) and Giants (1-6 SU, 3-4 ATS) on Sunday (FOX, 1 pm ET) may look the strangest, especially looking at this game in the context of the Offseason and Preseason before we all found out QB Jared Goff can play and that this Los Angeles NFC side can score some points and before we knew how pathetic New York NFC is. When you hear the location of the game, think edge G-Men. When you hear the QB matchup, Super Bowl winner Eli Manning (1,600 passing yards, 10 TDs) versus the still green Goff, you (would have) thought big edge G-Men. But we see a 3½-point spread with the Rams favored, which means best buy your baked beans and head for the bomb shelter. In a normal world, this game would have seen New York as 7-point chalks, maybe 5½ with Giants WR Odell Beckham (Ankle) injured.

Records speak volumes and the Giants are 1-6 and have scored an NFC-low 112 points only halfway through the Regular Season, while Todd Gurley and Los Angeles Rams are 5-2 and had scored an NFL-high 212 points before many teams played their 8th game in Week 8 and Los Espolones (The Rams) -- and fighting the Seahawks for 1st place in the NFC West -- enjoyed their Bye Week. These are sad times for the Giants and laying the 3½ may be the best plan of attack even with the rams having to Travel so far (2,788 miles) and playing in a Time Zone (ET) 3 Hours earlier than their PT Body Clocks, meaning a rude 10 am Body Clock start for the visitors and some choppy Circadian Rhythms, but the Bye Week may neutralize that factor. But bettor better beware here as the Trends show that the Giants are 8-0 ATS L8 vs. the Rams and 3-0 ATS the L3 here at Home at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. But these are the new-look Rams.


Arizona Cardinals (-2) at San Francisco 49ers

Because it seems the 49ers should be 3-point Underdogs in almost all situations and all Sites except for a Home game with the Cleveland Browns. But with Arizona starting QB Carson Palmer (Arm) out and the Cardinals looking like a shell of their former selves, this NFC West number is probably about right as is the Total at 39½ or 40 for this NFL Regular Season Week 9 game from Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara on Sunday afternoon (FOX, 4:05 pm ET). When these two met last year in this situation, Larry Fitzgerald and the the Cardinals won 33-21 as 5½-point Favorites. Heading in here, Arizona is 3-4 SU, 1-6 ATS and coming off its Bye Week and needs the SU Win to mentally stay alive in the Postseason race, while San Francisco is 0-8 SU but 4-4 ATS. With a healthy Palmer, Arizona might be 6-point chalks in this spot, but with Drew Stanton, it’s a different animal. Against the Rams in Week 6, Adrian Peterson and the Cardinals were crushed by Los Angeles NFC in First Downs (38-10), Time of Possession (39-21) and the place we really care about, the Scoreboard (33-0).

 Kansas City Chiefs at Dallas Cowboys (-1)

This classic AFC-NFC matchup from Jerry World on Sunday (CBS, 4:25 pm ET) between Dak Prescott and the Cowboys and Alex Smith and the Chiefs may look a little bit strange as the Cowboys wait to see if RB Ezekiel Elliott will be Suspended -- his hearing is Monday -- for the next six games or if he will be running wild in the Cowboys backfield as he did on Sunday when Dallas defeated the Redskins. The Cowboys (27/1 to win Super Bowl, Heritage) head in having W2 SU/ATS, outscoring the 49ers and Redskins, 73=29 both on the Road and have now played 4 consecutive Overs while Tyreek Hill and the upstart Chiefs (11/1 to win Super Bowl, Heritage) have L2 SU/ATS after starting the Regular Season off a blistering 5-0 SU/ATS and looking like world beaters until the Defensively improved Steelers broke Kansas City off something proper at Arrowhead in Week 6. Proof this may look odd to some comes in the form of the Westgate Las Vegas 2017 NFL Games of the Year opening odds which had Jason Witten, Dez Bryant and the host Cowboys as 4-point favorites here with last week’s Advanced Line being a PK. This game will see much action and is can’t-miss NFL TV, especially if Elliott is there to duel Chiefs Rookie RB Kareem Hunt (717 Rushing yards, 6 TDs). Watch KC TE Travis Kelce, who is in a groove.


Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (Pick'em)

The Monday night game of Week 9. When wouldn’t the Packers (65/1 to win Super Bowl, Heritage) be favored at Home at Lambeau Field in Green Bay against the Lions (+3,843 to win Super Bowl, BookMaker)? Only if starting QB Aaron Rodgers (Collarbone) was injured, and he is, forcing 2nd-stringer Brett Hundley to try to lead the Cheeseheads to the Gridiron Promised Land. The Trends show the Packers to be 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings in Green Bay in this NFC North rivalry, but with Matthew Stafford and Detroit losing a tough one at Home in Detroit on SNF to the Steelers, this is a spot where the visitors will really need the Win, heading in with a 3-4 Record and not only chasing these Packers (4-3 SU) in the division, but the 1st-place Minnesota Vikings who moved to 6-2 on the Regular Season after winning and covering ATS against the Browns in London early on Sunday.

The Westgate Las Vegas 2017 NFL Games of the Year opened up this Monday Night Football game (ESPN, 8:30 pm ET) with the Rodgers-less Packers as strong 7½-point Favorites, so we can see how valuable the veteran QB is to this team who really need this game to avoid falling to 4-4 SU with a trip to Chicago to play the feisty Bears (3-5 SU) in the Windy City in one of pro Sports great rivalries. We can see why the number is where it is with GB having L2 games SU/ATS (in 2 Unders) and scoring a total of 27 points in Losses to the Vikings and Saints, both of whom suddenly look like players in the wide-open NFC.

Free NFL Picks: Packers at Pick'em & Cowboys -1Best Lines Offered: BetOnline
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