Monday Night Week 7 Picks - Washington Redskins vs. Philadelphia Eagles

David Schwab

Saturday, October 21, 2017 2:06 PM UTC

Saturday, Oct. 21, 2017 2:06 PM UTC

There is a big prime-time battle in the NFC East between the 3-2 Washington Redskins and the 5-1 Philadelphia Eagles this Monday night. The Eagles hold the early edge in the season series after beating Washington 30-17 in Week 1 as slight one-point road favorites.

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles

Pointspread: Philadelphia -4.5
Total Line: 49

The Redskins needed a key interception late in the game to preserve last Sunday’s 26-24 victory over the winless San Francisco 49ers. They failed to cover as heavy 10.5-point home favorites in that game after coming up short against Kansas City as 6.5-point road underdogs in a 29-20 loss on Oct. 2. Washington is now 2-3 against the spread this season with the total going OVER or ended as a PUSH in three of its last four games.

Kirk Cousins still does not have a long-term contract as Washington’s starting quarterback and the price to sign him keeps going up in light of his early play. He has completed an efficient 66.5 percent of his first 158 passing attempts for 1,334 yards and nine touchdowns, while only tossing two interceptions. Running back Chris Thompson has been the most versatile player on this offense with a team-high 175 yards running the ball and another 340 yards catching it as the Redskins’ leading receiver.

Philadelphia moved to 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS with last Thursday’s 28-23 road victory against Carolina as a three-point underdog. This extended its SU winning streak to four games with the only loss of the season coming against Kansas City in Week 2 as a 4.5-point underdog on the road. The total went OVER the closing 43.5-point line in last week’s win and it has gone OVER in four of the Eagles’ last five games.

Carson Wentz is firmly in place as Philadelphia’s starting quarterback and he continues to show why he was the second overall pick of the 2016 draft. He has thrown for 1,584 yards and 13 touchdowns against three interceptions while completing 60.9 percent of his 207 passing attempts. He has also picked up 133 yards on the ground as the team’s second-leading rusher. One of the biggest reasons for the Eagles’ early success has been a turnaround on defense that has this unit ranked 10th in the NFL in points allowed. Philly is tied for fourth in the league in takeaways with 11.  

Betting Trends

--The Redskins are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games on the road, but they fall to 0-4 ATS in their last five games played on Monday night. The total has gone OVER the closing line in 13 of their last 16 road games.

--The Eagles have covered in five of their last six games against an NFC team and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games coming off an SU victory. The total has gone OVER in 15 of their last 22 conference games.

--Washington has an 8-2 edge ATS in its last 10 road games against the Eagles and the total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in five of its last seven trips to Philadelphia.

Final Analysis

The Redskins owned this series the past few years with a 5-0 head-to-head record both SU and ATS in the previous five games, but that winning streak came to an end on opening day this season. The Eagles are not only the hottest team in the NFC right now; they also know what a season sweep would mean for their chances to win the division title. When it comes to my top NFL pick in this heated NFC East showdown, I am riding the hot hand and laying the 4.5 points with the Eagles.

Free NFL Pick: Eagles 4.5Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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