Monday Night Props For Your Week 14 NFL Picks: Giants vs. Dolphins

Matthew Jordan

Monday, December 14, 2015 4:51 PM GMT

Monday, Dec. 14, 2015 4:51 PM GMT

The Giants need a win Monday night to keep pace in the sorry NFC East Division, while the Dolphins also need a victory to keep their playoff hopes alive. We give you the best NFL picks for props.

The Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Redskins both won Sunday to improve to 6-7, so the Giants are now a game back in the loss column in the division. Miami is also 5-7 but it can't win its division with New England atop the AFC East. Even winning out probably wouldn't be enough for the Fins to take a wild-card spot. What I think these two teams have in common? They will both call the New Orleans Saints about trading for Coach Sean Payton this offseason. The Dolphins are known to covet Payton if the Saints decide to let him leave and Payton is a former offensive coordinator with the Giants. This is the first time ever that these teams have met on Monday Night Football. New York is 22-36-1 on MNF in team history and Miami 41-40. Maybe it's good karma for New York that it's playing Miami. The previous two regular seasons that the Giants did, they won the Super Bowl, upsetting New England both times. New York is +250 to win the NFC East on NFL odds.

 

Eli Manning 'Over/Under' 24 Completions, 280.5 Yards, 2 TDs, .5 INTs
The Giants either can't or won't run the ball, so Manning has been putting it in the air plenty. New York ranks 9th in the league passing play percentage at 62.9 percent but over the past three games it's 69.7 percent, fourth in the league. Hey, when you have someone like Odell Beckham Jr., you should be throwing it a lot. New York ranks only 29th in rushing and has just three touchdowns on the ground. The opposition has run the ball 32 times a game against Miami, the highest average in the league. Against the pass, Miami is 24th in allowing 256.0 yards per game. The Fins have allowed 24 TD passes and picked off 11. They don't really have a shutdown cornerback like a Richard Sherman; Brent Grimes has been a disappointment this season for Miami.

NFL Picks: 'Over' all.

 

Ryan Tannehill O/U 21.5 Completions, 260.5 Yards, 1.5 TDs, .5 INTs
Is Tannehill really a franchise quarterback? I'd have to say no. Last week in a win against Baltimore he was terrible, completing just 9-for-19 for 86 yards. Not often you will win many games when your QB posts those numbers. Tannehill hasn't had a triple-digit rating in his past four games. Tannehill is 0-5 this year when he throws more than 40 times. Last week, with quarterbacks coach Zac Taylor calling plays for the first time after the team fired offensive coordinator Bill Lazor, the Dolphins gained more yards rushing than passing for the first time since the 2014 season opener. Lazor was canned by interim head coach Dan Campbell because Miami had become too pass reliant. The Giants haven't been good against the pass, 315 yards per game, last in the NFL. Take that into account for your NFL picks.

NFL Picks:  'Under' all but interceptions.

 

Odell Beckham O/U 6.5 Receptions, 100.5 Receiving  Yards
Jarvis Landry O/U 6 Receptions, 67.5 Receiving Yards
These two are best friends. Beckham and Landry each grew up in Louisiana and were college teammates at LSU. Apparently, there is a "Freak Catch" tape that exists from their time at LSU and the guys have hinted at putting on a one-handed show in pre-game warmups. The Giants have struggled to defend opposing slot wide receivers all season, and that's where Landry has lined up on most of his snaps. Beckham, meanwhile, is simply the best receiver in football. Landry has 78 catches for 821 yards and four touchdowns this year. Beckham has 78 catches for 1,154 yards and 10 touchdowns. Beckham is working on a string of five straight 100-yard games.

NFL Picks: Neither secondary is very good so lean 'over' on both. 

comment here