After a crazy Week 3 of the NFL season, it comes to a close after a matchup between the Bears and Jets from New York. Let’s cap off the week with three props from bet365 that I think have great value for Monday Night Football.
Chris Ivory TD Scored
So far through two weeks, Chris Ivory has a touchdown in both games, and Week 3 brings the soft Bears run defense to town. The Bears were the worst team in the NFL last season defending the run, and this season things aren’t looking much better. Through two games the Bears have already given up 320 rushing yards, and the Jets will want to control the line of scrimmage tonight through the running game. The Bears have one of the most prolific offenses in the NFL, and one more week of getting healthy for Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery should help the Bears’ passing game. To keep that offense off the field, the Jets are going to run a lot, including a lot in the red zone. Ivory is the undisputed red zone and goal line running back for the Jets, and I will add an Ivory touchdown as the first of my free picks for tonight's game..
My Pick: TD Scored (+120)
The NFL Odds have the Bears as slight +2 ½ underdogs in New York tonight, but seeing as I think the Bears are going to win the game outright, the double result looks like a nice way to add some value to this loan game tonight. If the Bears are leading at the half and end up winning the game, their double result will yield a nice yield of +190. Compare that to the same Jets double result of +115, and you have a great environment for the Bears to come away with the lead after the first and second half. The Jets were leading at the half last week against the Packers, but Green Bay ended up coming away with the win because of a horrible timeout call. As long as the Bears’ two receivers are healthy for tonight after both played last week, the Bears should be able to take advantage of the Jets’ shaky secondary. Add the Bears for both to your NFL picks tonight.
My Pick: Bears –Bears (+190)
Race to 20 points
Much like the double result, I think the Bears are going to be the quickest scoring team tonight. If Marty Mornhinweg gets pass happy and plays into the hands of the Bears, it might mean the Bears have even more value to get to 30 points first. The race to ten points should have some value as well, but it also could be a bit more of a coin flip. The Jets’ offense has looked pretty good, but if they don’t run the ball 30-40 times in this game, they’ll likely lose to the Bears. Chicago’s quick strike offense gives them even more betting value in this prop, and with a price of +140 from bet365, the price is definitely right. I see the Bears struggling some, but in the end they’ll get to 20 points before Geno Smith. The Jets can’t win a shoot out with the Bears, so they likely won’t be taking too many shots downfield, leaving them with minimal value for this prop.
My Pick: Bears (+140)