It’s the finale of Week 12, and instead of just one game to look at tonight, Mother Nature has given us two Monday night games for the first time since Week 1! With the extra NFL Odds juice, I have three prop bets from bet365 that look like great values.
|Ravens scores first +105 (best line: Heritage)
Saints scores first -125 (best line: BetOnline)
|First score a TD -180 (best line: Bovada)
First score not a TD +160 (best line: 5Dimes)
|Either team 3 straight scores -179 (best line: SIA)
No team 3 straight scores +190 (best line: 5Dimes)
|Score in first 6:30 -145 (best line: 5Dimes)
No score in first 6:30 +140 (best line: BetOnline)
|Jets scores first +105 (best line: Heritage)
Bills scores first -125 (best line: BetOnline)
|First score a TD -135 (best line: Bovada)
First score not a TD +115 (best line: 5Dimes)
|Either team 3 straight scores -172 (best line: SIA)
No team 3 straight scores +160 (best line: BetOnline)
|Offense scores all TD's -185 (best line: BetOnline)
TD not scored by offense +160 (best line: Bovada)
Ravens 1st to 10 points
Tonight’s real Monday Night Football game is the Ravens heading into New Orleans to play the Saints, and the NFL Odds have New Orleans as a solid -3 favorite, with a total of 51. Even though the Saints are solid NFL Odds favorites, as soon as we start to trust them they go and lose at home to the Bengals. Could this be the beginning of a trend? Who knows with the Saints, but if it is, wagering on the Ravens to get to ten points first might not be a bad wager.
The Saints have been prone to slow starts this season. Last week after an opening field goal, they gave up 20 unanswered points to the Bengals before scoring in garbage time in the 4th quarter. The Ravens’ defense is better than the Saints, and even though this game is in New Orleans, pick the Ravens to get to 10 first at +100.
My Pick: Ravens (+100)
Chris Ivory TD Scored
This one is a little bit of a gamble, but since this game has moved to Detroit, I think Chris Ivory brings some more to the table. In a game with a neutral site, it adds a lot to the Jets’ offense, and even though Ivory has struggled for the last two or three weeks, he might be able to get it together this week. The Bills’ rushing defense is stout, but with their newfound upside on offense, the Jets could find themselves in first and goal more than earlier in the season with Geno Smith. Although it hasn’t in the last few weeks, I think Michael Vick can lead this team into some scoring opportunities. Look to Ivory to profit off of those opportunities.
My Pick: Ivory TD Scored (+110)
Bills vs. Jets O/U 3.5 Field Goals
For my final NFL Pick of the day, I’m going with a prop that has been one of my better plays all season. At 3.5 field goals, these two teams should kick each other to death, and taking the over here looks golden. You can also wager at the 4.5 field goal number, however 3.5 is far less risk with still a decent payout. The NFL Odds for this one are at -150 for the over, and that’s not too much chalk for me. The Bills are currently a top five field goal kicking team, and even though the Jets are not, it’s mainly been because of their slow first half with Smith under center. Vick hit a 60-yard pass last week for a touchdown. The upside is there for the Jets to find themselves in scoring positions more often with Vick. The Jets went completely cold after their first three drives last week, but they also scored on their first three drives. Plus, they had two field goals in that game, and if they have that many again, I’m sure Dan Carpenter and the Bills will do the same. Take the over and add it to your NFL Picks.
My Pick: OVER 3.5 FGs (-150)