To cap off an already profitable Week 10, Monday has some promising NFL odds on offer when it comes to props. Bet365 has posted three that I have my eye on tonight, as I look to add some more value to my evening's NFL Picks.
CAR scores first +130 (Best line: 5Dimes)
PHI scores first -150 (Best line: BetOnline)
Offered by: 5Dimes | BetOnline | Bovada | Bet365 | SportsInteraction | Heritage
Greg Olsen O/U 56.5 Receiving Yards
Greg Olsen has been a mainstay in the Panthers offense this season, but this week against the Eagles on the road, his production may be down a bit. He has already put up two bad weeks in a row, where he was targeted only seven times in those two contests, and caught four balls for 46 yards. Tonight his NFL odds from bet365 have his over/under at 56 ½, and I think the under is by far the better play.
Not only has he not been that great over the last two weeks, but also he is going up against the best defense in the NFL when it comes to stopping tight ends. You’d think the Eagles would have worse numbers against tight ends because of how many receiving yards they’re giving up, but in reality they are averaging giving up less than 4 catches for 40 yards per game against tight ends. Defending receivers is another story (which I will get into in a moment). So take the under for this Greg Olsen NFL props pick tonight.
Free NFL Props Pick: Olsen UNDER 56.5 receiving yards (-115)
Kelvin Benjamin O/U 70.5 Receiving Yards
Speaking of the Eagles being bad against receivers, NFL rookie Kelvin Benjamin’s over/under for yards tonight is a steal for the over. Not only have the Eagles been bad against opposing pass catchers, but Benjamin is taking over as the number one target in this offense. Even though he only has six catches in his last two games, he was targeted 17 times over the last two weeks, and against the Eagles’ secondary, Benjamin should be really busy tonight catching passes.
Philadelphia has given up the 5th most yards to opposing receivers so far through the first half of the season, and along with about eight other teams, they have already given up 100 catches to just receivers. Benjamin’s size, strength and speed is going to be too much for the Eagles, and if Philly is out in front for most of the game Cam Newton is going to be looking for his rookie receiver often here.
Free NFL Props Pick: Benjamin OVER 70.5 receiving yards (-120)
LeSean McCoy O/U 91.5 Rushing Yards
On the other side of the game is LeSean McCoy, who has been increasingly used over the last few weeks after a slow start to the season Now with Mark Sanchez starting, the Eagles’ game plan shouldn’t change much, and against the Panthers’ sour run defense, McCoy should get plenty of touches and plenty of yards in tonight’s game. Over the season the Panthers have given up nearly 132 rushing yards per game, which ranks them 27th in the NFL against the run.
Two of the last four weeks the Eagles have given up 100 yards or more to a single running back, and in the two weeks that a back didn’t have 100 yards, the backs still averaged at least 4.4 yards per carry. McCoy is the best back the Panthers have played over the last four weeks, and I think he gets around the 100-yard mark. Take the over and add it to your NFL picks tonight.
Free NFL Props Pick: McCoy OVER 91.5 rush yards (-115) from bet365