Monday Night Football Picks Eagles ATS Over Panthers

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, November 5, 2014 6:54 PM GMT

Panthers descend on the Eagles on Monday Night Football betting, a game cornered in the Eagles’ camp across the NFL odds boards. Public betting opinion, however, is conspicuously divided. So which side of the coin offers value on your NFL picks? Let’s find out.

Carolina Panthers Overdue
Carolina Panthers slipped to 3-5-1 SU last week on the back of a 28-10 defeat at home to the Saints, becoming the first home team to lose to the Saints in 11 months. As a result, the defending NFC South champions fell to second place in the table behind the Saints.

Panthers are riding a three-game losing streak ahead of week 10 NFL betting, a poor run of form that is perilously close to undermining their season. Overall, they've been outscored 177-to-236 for a minus 59-point differential, which yields an average margin of minus 6.5-points per game. Over the course of their three-game losing streak, they've been outscored 36-to-79, which yields a minus 43-point differential or an average margin of minus 14.3-point per game.

By the numbers, the Panthers aren't good reading at all. Over and above their scoreboard deficiency, they boast a 21st-ranked passing offense with 226.6 yards per game and a 26th-ranked rushing offense with 94.7 yards per game. On the defensive side of the ball, they are 17th against the pass with 246.2 yards per game allowed and 26th against the rush with 131.9 yards per game allowed.

It’s no secret the Panthers are in a pickle at the moment and desperate to turn things around, but last week’s defeat to the Saints at home in Primetime was shattering, to say the least. There can be no illusions about this Panthers team. The glaringly obvious: Cam Newton isn't 100%, his offensive line is razor thin and defense is vanilla at best. They struggled on both sides of the ball –although so did the Saints to begin with before turning things around in the second quarter to take the 14-0 lead into halftime – barely registering any offense or defense in the 28-10 defeat to their divisional rivals.

Yet, despite all this, 39% of the public’s money has poured onto the Panthers as the 6-point underdogs on the road. The only reason that could possibly explain this NFL betting reaction is the fact that Nick Foles is out with a collarbone injury; Mark Sanchez is taking over at centre.

 

Eagles Fole-less
Philadelphia Eagles lost Nick Foles late in the first quarter of their clash with the Houston Texans last week. Nevertheless, Mark Sanchez, stepping in at centre, proved his worth as an experienced quarterback to carry the Eagles to the 31-21 victory. It was a rapturous ovation in post-match interviews, including Chip Kelly singing Sanchez’s praises like a canary. Sanchez went 15-of-22 for 202 yards and two touchdowns (two interceptions and two sacks) in his Eagles debut, marking his first real-time action since December 30, 2012 with the New York Jets.

Eagles are 6-2 SU on the season, back atop the NFC East standings behind the win over Houston and after Dallas lost two in a row as well. By the numbers, the Eagles are 5th in passing offense with 284.8 yards per game and 8th in rushing offense with 124.5 yards per game. Those numbers are down to Nick Foles at centre mainly, so it remains to be seen where they fall in the coming weeks. According to Chip Kelly, his offense will remain as is regardless of who’s calling the plays apparently. He’s confident Sanchez is the right fit for his scheme and is sure to thrive. That sentiment is echoed by sportsbooks, obviously. Why else would the Eagles be sent into this Monday Primetime affair as the firm 6-point favourites on the NFL odds board? That actually was bet up from 5.5-points since early doors, if just to press home the public’s outlook as well.

 

NFL Betting Verdict
It’s clear the betting public is somewhat divided on this game. Some (almost 40%) are of the opinion the banged Panthers are capable of covering 6-points at the expense of the Eagles on the road. The majority, however, is as unconcerned as sportsbooks are about the quarterback change, confident the Sanchez-inspired-Eagles are going to get the job done.

Thing is, if Cam Newton were 100% fit, the majority would probably defer to the better quarterback. As he so obviously isn't, nor for that matter is the team around him, the wear and tear showing more and more the deeper we go into the season, backing the Panthers seems a risky enterprise. You're banking on a wildly optimistic turnaround when the evidence to suggest it's imminent isn't there – last week’s disheartening defeat to the Saints included. Eagles showed their mettle despite losing their starting quarterback, and Sanchez (love him or hate him) did his job. You have to like that spunk. As such, we're backing the Eagles on our NFL picks as the 6-point home favourites on the spread.

NFL Picks: Eagles -6.0 at The Greek

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