Monday Night Football Picks: Chargers vs. Colts

Joe Freda

Thursday, October 10, 2013 6:20 PM GMT

The Indianapolis Colts reeled off a third straight win in last week’s 34-28 victory over the Seattle Seahawks, cashing as three-point home dogs.


Monday’s NFL betting has Chuck Pagano’s club visiting the San Diego Chargers, who have put up 29 PPG at home.

Colts, Luck storm back

Indianapolis rallied from an early 12-0 deficit, including the return of a blocked kick for a touchdown by safety Delano Howell. The Colts took their final lead with running back Donald Brown’s three-yard scoring dash in the fourth quarter, while placekicker Adam Vinatieri added some insurance with a 49-yard field goal.

Colts quarterback Andrew Luck threw two touchdown strikes to wide out T.Y. Hilton, finishing with 229 yards in a 16-for-29 afternoon. Hilton finished with a season-high 140 receiving yards on five catches, while Trent Richardson logged 18 carries out of the backfield for 56 yards.

Indianapolis’ defense allowed 423 total yards, giving up a combined 204 rushing yards to Seattle’s Russell Wilson and Marshawn Lynch. The contest’s combined 62 points surged OVER the NFL odds ‘total’ of 43 ½, while the Colts were flagged for just three penalties (35 yards).

Chargers fall as ‘chalk’

San Diego logged a 27-17 defeat in last Sunday’s late affair with the Oakland Raiders, failing to collect as a 5 ½-point road favorite. The Chargers fell behind at halftime, 17-0, with quarterback Philip Rivers tossing three interceptions as part of the team’s five turnovers.

Rivers threw for 411 yards through the air, connecting 36-of-49 attempts. San Diego’s Keenan Allen and Danny Woodhead caught one touchdown each, while wide out Vincent Brown piled in a team-high 117 receiving yards with eight receptions.

Rivers and Co. picked up 27 first downs in their 31 minutes of possession, with the battle’s 44 points ducking UNDER the closing ‘total’ of 46. Chargers linebacker Jarret Johnson recorded two of his side’s four sacks, with San Diego’s defense holding Oakland to 299 total yards.

See how to bet the Spread right here~

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Back the UNDER in San Diego

The Greek opened this matchup as a pick’em, with wagers on Indianapolis shifting the Colts to be one-point road favorites. The ‘total’ was first posted at 48, driving north to 50 after initial NFL betting on the OVER

I am backing the UNDER in this battle, ending this week’s sports picks by going against the early ‘steam.’ 

Indianapolis has seen the UNDER cash at 2-0 in its pair of road contests, holding foes to a combined 10 points. The Colts’ defense quietly ranks sixth against the pass (201.4 YPG), while linebacker Robert Mathis has notched a league-high 9 ½ sacks.

San Diego’s octane has had its inconsistencies, with the UNDER going 2-1 in its last three contests. Chargers running back Ryan Matthews suffered a concussion against Oakland and is listed as “questionable” to return here.

The UNDER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings between these foes, including a 3-0 mark in San Diego during Peyton Manning’s era with the Colts. Look for an UNDER ticket to collect here for your NFL picks, adding to the 6-0 mark for the wager in Indianapolis’ last six contests on grass.

NFL Pick: UNDER 50 at William Hill