Week 4’s Monday Night Football is looking like a lot more appetizing matchup than last week’s featuring the Atlanta Falcons and Green Bay Packers where the Falcons could barely find the endzone. This week’s Monday night menu features the Los Angeles Chargers as the underdog on the road to New Orleans.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. New Orleans Saints
Monday, October 12, 2020 – 08:15 PM EDT at Mercedes Benz-Superdome
The 2-2 Saints are the 7.5 home favorites in the NFL odds on this Monday Night matchup in a fanless stadium. Something to note here is New Orleans' crazy gambling run...the Saints covered the spread in 18 straight October games dating all the way back to Week 6 of 2015.
Why Chargers Will Win
The Chargers come off of a close win to one of the worst teams in the league, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
LA has a real chance at upsetting the New Orleans Saints on Monday night if they want it bad enough. Aside from the Saints’ Week 1 performance against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, we’ve seen their weak links. Their defense is allowing the eighth most points per game in the league. Their offense is missing it’s No. 1 option in Michael Thomas and you can tell.
The Chargers on the other hand look hot and young with Justin Herbert front and center.
Last weekend, Chargers had a 24-14 lead heading into the half on the road against Tampa Bay but Tom Brady rallied his team to come back and outscore the Chargers 24-7 in the final 30 minutes in a 38-31 loss. Herbert continued to impress us with 290 yards and three touchdowns.
Chargers' defense is banged up but they have two of the top DEs in the NFL with Joey Bosa on one end and Melvin Ingram on the other. Though, Bosa has been limited in practice this week.
Why Saints Will Win
The Saints beat the Detroit Lions over the weekend by a touchdown and continue their crazy gambling run.
New Orleans will take on a banged-up Chargers defense that gives up an average of 23.8 points per game and ranks 19th in total yardage.
In their loss to Tampa Bay, the Chargers gave up their highest point total and yardage of the season. The Chargers also lost their last three games after an opening day win, giving up an average of 401 total yards in those losses.
Just when you think QB Drew Brees is washed up, he’s not. Brees had a solid game through the air for the Saints on the road as he connected on 19 of his 25 pass attempts for 246 yards, 2 TDs, and an interception. The ground game was also efficient for the Saints with Alvin Kamara running for 83 yards and 1 TD on 19 carries and Latavius Murray with 64 yards and 2 TDs.
The Chargers are competitive and can try for the upset, but ultimately for our NFL pick, their defense isn’t good enough to keep up with Brees and his weapons. The Saints continue their crazy gambling streak of covering the spread through October.