Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Week 9 Free NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Sunday, November 8, 2015 1:35 AM GMT

Sunday, Nov. 8, 2015 1:35 AM GMT

Miami had won 2 in a row & looked like a new team under Dan Campbell. However, the Fish were gutted in New England. They're now going to Buffalo to face the 3-4 & Week 9 NFL odds favorite Bills.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open: -3 -105 at Pinnacle
This NFL odds opened up at -3 for the Bills and that is where it stays as it is a division game, and the Bills are at home. There isn't a lot between these two other than the Dolphins have played better lately, but that loss to the Patriots was very humbling. The Bills, who are also coming off a bye, have been incredibly disappointing on the defensive end, where many thought they would have one of the top units in the league. The Bills are tied with the Dolphins (who were also supposed to be good defensively) at 18th in the NFL in points allowed, and they've given up 34 points in back-to-back games (including Jacksonville).

***Dolphins-Bills ATS Pick Preview***

Dolphins vs. Bills Spread

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Dolphins vs. Bills Totals

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Dolphins vs. Bills Money Line

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Injuries
Losing DE Cameron Wake to an Achilles tear for the season is going to take a team effort to get past, and the Dolphins definitely didn't fill that void against the Patriots. WR DeVante Parker didn't practice on Wednesday because of a foot injury, and he is a question mark for Sunday.

WR Sammy Watkins was limited in practice with his ankle injury, which is an improvement, so keep an eye on that development. CB Leodis McKelvin is also back at practice as he was activated from the PUP list, but it is a big ask of him to play this weekend. QB Tyrod Taylor, who has battled a slew of injuries, is ready to go after the bye week.

 

Trends
The Dolphins have covered in three of their last 12 games overall, but they're 2-4 ATS in their last six on the road. The Bills are 2-4 ATS in their last six overall, and they're just 1-3 ATS in four games at home this season. The line has dipped from 45 to 44, and the Dolphins have gone over in seven of their last 10. The Bills have gone over in four of their last six.

The Bills are 6-4 SU and ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Dolphins, who are 3-7 SU and ATS in their last 10 visits to Buffalo.

***Clickthrough to Find the Full List of Week 9 NFL Picks!***

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