Looking at the Largest Totals for Week 7 & Making Winning NFL Picks

Matthew Jordan

Friday, October 23, 2015 6:19 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 23, 2015 6:19 PM UTC

My first losing week on the largest totals picks in Week 6 as I missed 'OVER' NYG-PHI & 'OVER' ARI-PIT but hit on 'UNDER' BAL-SF. Here are three of the highest Week 7 totals on NFL odds.

New Orleans Saints vs. Indianapolis Colts (52 On NFL Odds)
Easily the highest total on the board with no other game even above 48. And this should be the highest with Drew Brees and Andrew Luck facing off for the first time -- and probably the last time unless the teams play in the Super Bowl over the next couple of seasons or Brees somehow lands in the AFC. Saints and Colts won't play again in the regular season for four years and Brees won't be around by then. Some really interesting statistical streaks entering this game. The Saints have gone 38 games in a row without returning  an interception for a touchdown, the longest active streak in the NFL. But in the Saints' past two meetings with Indy, they did return one. You no doubt remember one of those: Tracy Porter's 74-yard pick-six off Peyton Manning to clinch Super Bowl XLIV. Brees, meanwhile, has thrown two or fewer TD passes in seven straight games and hasn't gone eight in a row since 2006-07. The Colts have the No. 29 pass defense in the NFL and have allowed 11 TD passes. Finally, the Colts have not had a 100-yard rusher in 40 straight games, the longest active streak in the NFL. The Saints are No. 31 against the rush, allowing 138.2 yards per game. So perhaps both streaks end. No weather worries in the dome.

NFL Free Picks: 'OVER' It is 8-3 in the Saints' past 11 in October. It is 8-3 in Indy's past 11 after allowing more than 250 passing yards in its previous game.

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Oakland Raiders vs. San Diego Chargers (47 In NFL Betting)
Jets-Patriots and Ravens-Cardinals have higher totals than this game, but I looked at both of those in the biggest spreads story so won't here (take underdogs in each).  Could San Diego quarterback Philip Rivers set an NFL record in this game? The league mark for most passing yards the week after a 500-yard game is 423 by the Patriots' Tom Brady. He threw for 517 against the Dolphins on Sept. 12, 2011, and then 423 against these Chargers six days later. Rivers threw for a franchise-record 503 yards last week in a loss  in Green Bay. He became the 17th QB in league history with a 500-yard game. Rivers leads the NFL by far with 2,116 passing yards. Rivers is going for his fourth game in a row with at least 350 yards passing and two scores. Rivers has won six of his past seven in this series, passing for 1,810 yards with 13 TDs. He goes against an Oakland defense that is No. 18 against the pass. Oakland's points scored have dropped in four straight games: 37 in a Week 2 win vs. Baltimore, 27 in a Week 3 win in Cleveland, 20 in  a Week 4 loss in Chicago and 10 in  Week 5 home defeat to Denver. The Raiders were off last week. Last year, the Chargers beat the Raiders 31-28 in Oakland and 13-6 in San Diego.

NFL Free Pick: 'OVER' It is 7-1 in Oakland's past eight vs. the AFC. It is 6-2 in the Raiders' past eight overall. The 'over' is 6-2 in the Chargers' past eight after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.  

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Atlanta Falcons vs. Tennessee Titans (47 On NFL Picks)
This total somewhat surprises me because the Titans might struggle to score because rookie starting quarterback Marcus Mariota is unlikely to play -- not ruled out as of this writing -- with a sprained MCL suffered in last week's loss to the Dolphins. Although it's not like the Titans offense had been playing great without him as they have been held to 14 points or fewer three times in their four-game losing streak. Still, Mariota is better than backup Zack  Mettenberger. The Titans have lost eight consecutive home games and are 1-10 overall in Nashville under Coach Ken Whisenhunt, who probably isn't the coach in 2016. The Falcons had extra time to heal up and prepare as they suffered their first loss on Thursday in Week 6 in New Orleans. Matt Ryan generally doesn't play as well outdoors as he does in domes. In Atlanta's one outdoor game this season, the Falcons had 24 points at the Giants. Weather shouldn't be a major factor in this game.

NFL Free Pick: 'UNDER' Falcons may get their 24, but Titans unlikely to get more than 20. The 'under' is 7-1 in Atlanta's past eight following a loss. It is 5-2 in Tennessee's past seven after a loss.

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