Look to Total with NFL Picks in Eagles vs. Texans

Jordan Sharp

Sunday, November 2, 2014 12:00 PM GMT

One of the earlier matchups this week is the Eagles and Texans from Houston, as the NFL Odds have the Texans anywhere from +1 ½ to +2 ½ home dogs, with a total of 48 ½. Where should you go with your NFL Picks for this game? I have an idea.

Eagles healthier, will it be enough?
The Eagles’ run game needs to get going if this team wants to get to, or do anything in the playoffs. Right now LeSean McCoy is doing all he can, but the offensive line has been an issue all season. However that unit should get a big boost this week, as Jason Kelce is expected to return, giving the Eagles almost all of their lineman back. Todd Herremans is still a little banged up, but he is expected to play this week.

Also back for the Eagles this week should be Darren Sproles. He was one of the bigger and more undervalued signings of the offseason, and despite the injuries, he has been giving the Eagles just what they need, another running back to spell McCoy from time to time, and another pass catcher both in the slot and from the backfield.

However the Texans’ defense is going to put up a big fight here, and the fight will be won in the trenches with those offensive linemen. As long as the Eagles can control the line of scrimmage on offense, they should be able to move the ball at will. However on the flip side, if the Eagles are not able to stop Arian Foster and the Texans running game, things might be so easy. All in all this matchups is going to come down to whether or not the Eagles can move the ball through the air and on the ground.

 

The Sharp Pick
The Eagles’ secondary has a cause for concern this week, as safety Nate Allen is listed as questionable heading into Sunday afternoon’s game. However after missing the first two days of practice this week, Allen practiced in full on Friday, which is a good sign for this defense. But should we trust either side of this play?

This week is a really bad week for spreads to begin with, and this one is seemingly no different. With the NFL Odds all over the place for this game, it might be better to go with a play on the total of 48 ½. This total is big, and it may be too big if the Eagles’ offense doesn’t come to play on the road again. If the Texans’ defense shows up, this game could be in the low 20s at the end, making sure the under is the best play.

The under is 4-1 in the Texans’ last five games against a team with a winning record, and he under is 7-2 for the Eagles in their last nine games following giving up over 250 passing yards the week before. Look for a sloppy game from both clubs here in Houston, making the 'Under' the choice for our free NFL picks this weekend.

My Pick: UNDER 48 ½ 

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