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New York Giants head coach Brian Daboll as we offer our Lions vs. Giants prediction for their NFL preseason Week 1 clash at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J.
New York Giants head coach Brian Daboll before the game against the Philadelphia Eagles at MetLife Stadium. Photo by Vincent Carchietta / USA TODAY Sports via Imagn.

The Detroit Lions and New York Giants traded punches (literally) in joint practices ahead of tonight's preseason opener. They'll get a chance to trade blows on the field when their first exhibition game kicks off at 7 p.m. ET.

The Giants are favored by 3.5 points to beat the Lions across our best sports betting sites, which have Detroit among the favorites by the Super Bowl odds.

We're targeting the underdogs in our Lions vs. Giants prediction and expert picks.

Lions vs. Giants odds

See our full NFL odds here.

Take the points between Lions, Giants

Odds via our best NFL betting sitesNFL picks confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

Prediction: Lions +3.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

As we discussed in our NFL preseason betting guide, exhibition football is volatile by nature, so I'm always looking for a reason to take the points with all else being equal. And I'm a bit surprised to see the Giants laying more than a field goal.

Both sides have signaled that their starters likely won't see the field on Thursday. Assuming that's the case, the Giants should have a slight advantage under center with Drew Lock and Tommy DeVito - who boast 29 career starts between them - facing off against Nate Sudfeld and Hendon Hooker.

That said, the Lions still boast a deeper and more talented roster overall against a New York team that won six fewer games last season and will be debuting new play-callers on both sides of the ball. That should mean more experimentation from the Giants' side, which doesn't bode well for trying to actually win the game.

Tough preseason history for G-Men

Speaking of coaches, it's hard to ignore the preseason failures of the Giants' Brian Daboll, who will be calling plays on Thursday for the first time as a head coach.

He's called plays before as a coordinator, but he's never done so while wearing the main headset. Even without that added responsibility, his team has gone 0-6 against the spread in the preseason in his two years as head coach, compared to a modest 4-5 ATS record for Lions coach Dan Campbell.

That poor record doesn't mean New York is an auto-fade in exhibition. But it does speak to how Daboll views the preseason overall and his motivations to actually win the football game - especially with him using Thursday's game as a "trial and error" for his play-calling role, as he told team media earlier this week.

These teams opened against each other in last year's preseason, and the Lions came away with a 21-16 win. I'm not sure the Giants should even be favored in this year's rematch, so I'll gladly take the points to kick off this Week 1 slate.

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Players to watch

Career statsDrew Lock (NYG)Nate Sudfeld (DET)
Preseason102-for-173, 1,285 yards, 10 TD, 5 INT109-for-188, 1,293 yards, 9 TD, 7 INT
Regular season469-for-786, 5,283 yards, 28 TD, 23 INT25-for-37, 188 yards, TD, INT

Lions vs. Giants game info

  • When: Thursday, Aug. 8
  • Kick off: 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, N.J.)
  • How to watch: FOX 17 (Detroit), FOX5 (NY)
  • Favorite: Giants -3.5 (-110 via bet365)

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