Lions the Play in Week 4 NFL Picks vs. Jets

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, September 23, 2014 5:58 PM GMT

Tuesday, Sep. 23, 2014 5:58 PM GMT

After a disappointing loss to the Bears on the national stage, the Jets get another chance to please their home fans in Week 4. They'll be at home to Matthew Stafford and the Lions, and the football betting odds are as close as you'd expect them to be.

At time of writing, sportsbooks either had a line of a PK or had the Lions favored by a single point. If anything, we'd expect the NFL odds to shift in Detroit's favor after a great win over the Packers, coupled with the fact the Jets didn't look so hot on Monday Night Football.

With regards to the total, the number is right around 45 at 5Dimes.

New York Jets in 2014-15 Regular Season: 1-2 SU, 0-2-1 ATS, -3.3 margin of victory

Injury Watch: Eric Decker (questionable), Dee Milliner (questionable), Muhammad Wilkerson (questionable), A.J. Edds (questionable)

Detroit Lions in 2014-15 Regular Season: 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, +5.3 margin of victory

Injury Watch: James Ihedigbo (questionable), Don Carey (questionable), Travis Lewis (questionable), Cassius Vaughn (questionable)

The Jets lost their second straight on Monday, suffering a 27-19 setback at the hands of the Bears.

Geno Smith may have thrown for 316 yards and a touchdown, but he also made his fair share of mistakes, throwing two picks and getting sacked three times. He had a QBR of 20.5 in the defeat. The running game didn't do much either, as Chris Ivory and Chris Johnson totaled 78 yards on 20 carries. Jeremy Kerley was a bright spot, catching seven balls for 81 yards and a touchdown.

Now New York must pick themselves up and try and do better at home, this time against Detroit, who just grabbed a huge division win over Green Bay.

The Lions beat the Packers 19-7 at home in what has to be considered one of the best defensive efforts from any team this season. Though they had a hard time moving the ball, their defense was spectacular, holding Aaron Rodgers, Eddie Lacy and the rest in check throughout. Limiting the Packers to seven points is a terrific feat.

Matthew Stafford had a forgettable outing, throwing two interceptions without a single touchdown pass. Calvin Johnson still managed a reasonably effective day, hauling in six receptions for a game-high 82 yards, with Golden State chipping in with five catches for 51 yards. In the run game, Reggie Bush had 12 carries for 61 yards and a touchdown and six catches for 38 yards, while Joique Bell had 15 rushes for 33 yards.

What a day for that defense though. The Lions held Rodgers to 162 passing yards and one touchdown, while Lacy only had 36 rushing yards. If they can generate similar pressure this weekend, Geno Smith and the Jets are in a world of trouble.

 

Suarez Says:
It's hard to know which Lions team you're going to get on a given week with the way things have been going.

After crushing the Giants 35-14 in Week 1, Detroit then fell flat on its face in a 24-7 loss in Carolina, only to rebound with that memorable win over the Packers.

Due to the maddening inconsistency, it's hard to get a gauge on the best road to wander down with our NFL picks. However, our initial inclination is to side with momentum and take the Lions to continue their good play. We know Detroit has the better talent offensively, and Calvin should be able to feast on a Jets secondary that has looked terrible to start the season. For now, we like the Lions at the short odds.

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