Lay the Chalk on Colts Over Titans for NFL Picks

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, September 24, 2014 2:23 PM GMT

Wednesday, Sep. 24, 2014 2:23 PM GMT

Things have gone downhill in a hurry for the Titans after a great Week 1 win. They'll try to avoid a third consecutive loss this weekend when they travel to Indianapolis for a division game against the Colts.

For the most part, the Colts are favored by 7.5 points at BookMaker, but some NFL betting sites have a line as high as 8.5 available, suggesting that we could continue to see this spread grow throughout the week.

The total is at 45.5 points, but it's a tough call on an O/U play, as the 'over' has cashed in all three of Indianapolis' games, while the 'under' has hit in each of Tennessee's first three matchups. Something's got to give.

Indianapolis Colts in 2014-15 Regular Season: 1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS, +5.7 margin of victory

Injury Watch: T.Y. Hilton (questionable), Arthur Jones (questionable), Jerrell Freeman (questionable)

Tennessee Titans in 2014-15 Regular Season: 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS, -8.7 margin of victory

Injury Watch: Jake Locker (questionable), Delanie Walker (questionable)

Though both teams are 1-2, it's the Colts that hold the momentum and the clear edge heading into Week 4. The NFL odds back that statement up.

Indianapolis didn't hold any prisoners last week, crushing Jacksonville 44-17 on the road. The Colts were favored by at least a touchdown, yet didn't have any trouble whatsoever coming through for their backers. It was domination from start to finish.

Andrew Luck was unstoppable, completing 31-of-39 passes or 370 yards and four touchdowns. He completed passes to nine different receivers, and the run game stepped up too to combine for 144 yards on 29 carries. T.Y. Hilton led all receivers with 80 yards on five receptions, with Reggie Wayne, Donte Moncrief and Hakeem Nick all logging at least 50 receiving yards too. Nicks, Coby Fleener, Dwayne Allen and Ahmad Bradshaw all caught touchdown passes.

The Titans didn't fare nearly as well, losing 33-7 on the road to Cincinnati. Jake Locker was shaky for the second consecutive week, the run game was stuffed, and Tennessee's defense also had a day to forget. Nothing went right.

Locker is also now dealing with a wrist injury, while Delanie Walker, who's been one of the most reliable targets in the passing game, is also considered questionable right now. That would be a lot to overcome if those two are unable to go for Tennessee.

Week 1 could just be an aberration for the Titans, as they've looked a shade of that team that went into Kansas City and dominated the Chiefs. What will we see out of Ken Whisenhunt's team in Week 4?

 

Suarez Says:
Momentum is clearly on Indianapolis' side here. The Colts throttled the Jaguars last week and should be able to get past the Titans with relative ease as well.

There are some injury worries for Tennessee, namely with Locker and Walker, whereas Indianapolis is relatively healthy, with Hilton the major concern. The Titans aren't getting good quarterback play right now, and it looks like there's a good chance Charlie Whitehurst will step in. He's not exactly the most capable signal caller out there, and it's not like he'd get much help from the stuttering backfield either.

Luck looked ruthless last weekend, and we can't help but feel he'll lead Indianapolis to another comfortable win, this time at home. The offense is clicking in a big way, with numerous people contributing.

It's a lot of points to lay, but we'll be adding the Colts to our preferred NFL picks for Week 4.

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