Lay -5 on Packers Over Eagles for Week 11

Joe Catalano

Tuesday, November 11, 2014 7:51 PM GMT

This NFL betting expert shares his free pick for Week 11 of the NFL when the Philadelphia Eagles face the best quarterback in the NFL, Aaron Rodgers in his backyard.

Kickoff is set for Sunday at 4:25 pm ET in Lambeau Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. This game is a nationally televised game due to it's great importance on the FOX Network.

5Dimes Sportsbook has given the Packers the respect that they deserve and Green Bay is a 5 point betting favorite while the total for the game is 56.5 . This could be the highest total to date where NFL Odds are concerned this season.

 

Combined Blowouts
Both teams are coming off of massive blowouts. Aaron Rodgers hooked up with Jordy Nelson at will as Green Bay carried a 42-0 lead into the 1st half against the Chicago Bears and eventually won the game 55-14.

The Eagles will get a short rest week after Mark Sanchez showed that he is the man in Philadelphia as the Eagles defense just destroyed Cam Newton in rout to a 45-21 victory. Newton threw a couple of garbage time TD passes, but the Eagles had this game well in hand. Sunday's matchup is the ultimate matchup that the fans and betting public are looking for as both teams will bring their best effort.

 

Relax!
These were the words that Aaron Rodgers uttered to the fans as the Packers got off to a 1-2 start to the season and he was spot on.The Packers are 6-3 but actually a much better team than their record indicates as you saw when they played the Chicago Bears and crushed the Monsters of the Midway.

One thing that was clear; I've never seen a receiver so wide open as Jordy Nelson was as Rodgers connected with him on 2 occasions for touchdowns to go along with 6 receptions for 152 yards.

This was a game in which everyone was involved. Eddie Lacy was breaking long touchdown runs and even tight end Andrew Quarless got involved and caught a touchdown pass. All of these names have a common denominator and his name is Aaron Rodgers; he is clearly the best player in the NFL. He's level headed on the field and has a great combination of a high football I.Q, good athleticism, and great command of the offensive scheme.

Rodgers could've set all types of records against the Bears as he threw for 6 touchdowns in the 1st half, but out of respect for the game, coach Mike McCarthy knew where to draw the line. Even being a California grown player, Rodgers plays well at home in very cold temperatures and that could come into play here. Regardless, Rodgers has Eddie Lacy at his disposal along with Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb to throw the ball to, and that's all that he needs.

Rodgers could be tested in this game by the Eagles defense who managed 3 interceptions, 9 sacks, and 5 turnovers overall against a helpless Cam Newton. I don't expect that to happen here, but this game won't be the same cakewalk for Green Bay that Chicago was.

Green Bay has a well balanced offense with an intelligent quarterback who has won a Super Bowl and is in his prime. The Eagles will have their hands full when facing the Pack on Sunday afternoon.

 

Mark Sanchez and the Eagles Defense
Clearly these are the key components for Philadelphia to win this game. Mark Sanchez, who has been to two AFC Championship Games with the Jets, is a perfect fit for head coach Chip Kelly's offensive style, and has bought into the game play.

Just look at the expression on Sanchez's face. The guy knows that he's out of Rex Ryan's "defensive first" thought process and into an offense in which he can air the football out. Surprisingly, his favorite target isn't Jeremy Maclin; it's Jordan Matthews. Sanchez has always been a quarterback that likes to get the tight end involved and Brent Celek played a major role on Monday Night and we may see him again on Sunday.

With that said, the element of surprise needs to be there, and LeSean McCoy and the Eagles running game need to play more of a role than it did against Carolina. As for the Eagles defense, I wouldn't expect to see them handle Aaron Rodgers the way that they dominated Cam Newton and Carolina's weak offensive line, but the defense needs to at least contain Rodgers because he's playing as good as a quarterback can play and his relationship with Jordy Nelson appears to be unstoppable.

 

Outcome
Philadelphia and Sanchez had a great accounting of themselves, but their coming off of a short work week and Rodgers is just on another stratosphere where his performance is concerned as of late. At Lambeau Field, a bettor must choose the Packers as their NFL Pick in this game.

Free NFL Pick: Green Bay -5 at 5Dimes