Largest Totals to Look at for Your Week 5 NFL Picks

Matthew Jordan

Saturday, October 10, 2015 6:49 PM UTC

Saturday, Oct. 10, 2015 6:49 PM UTC

In Week 4, for the second straight week, I hit on all three largest total picks: 'over' on Texans-Falcons and 'under' on Cowboys-Saints and Giants-Bills. Let's keep it going. Here are three of the highest Pinnacle Week 5 totals on NFL odds.

New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles (49.5 On NFL Odds)
The Patriots-Cowboys game also has a total of 49.5 but I touched on that in my biggest spreads story -- give the points -- so won't here. The Saints were preseason favorites to win the NFC South and the Eagles were the same in the NFC East. Both are 1-3 so a loss here would be pretty devastating. The South has two 4-0 teams to the Saints aren't winning that division. It might only take seven wins in the NFC East so maybe Philly could still afford to lose and win that. Both clubs can take some solace in that under the current playoff format, which was implemented in 1990, 25 teams have rebounded from a losing record after four weeks to qualify for the postseason. One of them, the 2001 Patriots, won the Super Bowl. The Saints' offense still isn't rolling yet. They scored a season-high 26 points last week but it took overtime to get to that number. Drew Brees returned from missing a game with a shoulder injury and threw for a season-high 359 yards and two touchdowns against the Cowboys. The Philly offense has  been perhaps the NFL's most disappointing and Coach Chip Kelly admits that his play-calling isn't working yet. The Eagles have the NFL's second-worst third-down conversion percentage, something Kelly said stems from a lack of success on first and second down. Philly is just 22nd in scoring at 19.5 points per game.

NFL Picks: 'Over.' It has hit in seven of the Saints' past 10 on the road. The 'over ' is 8-3 in Philly's past 11 after a loss.

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Washington Redskins vs. Atlanta Falcons (48 In NFL Betting)
The Falcons are one of six unbeaten teams entering Week 5, along with division rival Carolina, Green Bay, Cincinnati, Denver and New England -- the first five are all 4-0 and the Patriots 3-0. It's only the third time in the past 10 years that two teams from the same division have started 4-0. And it's the first time Atlanta has done so since 2012, when it finished 13-3, was the NFC's top seed and lost a close NFC Championship Game to San Francisco. The Falcons are loaded everywhere on offense. Matt Ryan's 1,220 yards passing are No. 2 in the NFL. Running back Devonta Freeman's seven TD rushes are No. 1 in the NFL and he's the first player to rush for at  least seven in his team's first four games in 10 years. And Julio Jones leads the league with 38 catches and is No. 2 with 478 yards (was No. 1 before a big game by Houston's DeAndre Hopkins on Thursday). Atlanta is No. 3 in scoring at 34.4 points per game. The Redskins are not nearly as flashy as the Falcons on offense. They try and run the ball -- Washington leads the NFL in rushing -- all day and simply ask QB Kirk Cousins to manage the game and not throw interceptions, which has been a problem of his since entering the NFL.

NFL Pick: 'Under.' It has hit in seven straight Week 5 games for Washington. The 'under' is 4-1 in Atlanta's past five vs. the NFC.

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. San Diego Chargers (45.5 On NFL Picks)
Once again no Ben Roethlisberger for the Steelers. Backup Michael Vick gets the call again and he wasn't very good in last Thursday's loss to Baltimore, completing 19-for-26 for 124  yards with a touchdown in the 23-20 overtime defeat. He overthrew Antonio Brown in a key fourth down in overtime; the Steelers didn't kick a field goal instead because they didn't trust Josh Scobee, who missed two field goals in the fourth quarter. He has since been released. Perhaps a full week of practice will help Vick. Incidentally, Brown's NFL-record streak of 35 straight games with at least five catches and 50 yards ended in that game; check out my  Week 5 specials story on a Bovada prop asking if Brown will start another in this game (I recommended yes). Pittsburgh does welcome back receiver Martavis Bryant off his four-game suspension. The Chargers come in off a 30-27 win over Cleveland in which Philip Rivers threw for 358 yards and three scores and was named AFC Offensive Player of the Week. And Rivers, who leads the NFL in passing yards, welcomes back perhaps his favorite target this week in tight end Antonio Gates, a future Hall of Famer, off his four-game suspension. His next TD catch will be No. 100. San Diego is No. 3 in total offense.

NFL Pick: 'Over' at Pinnacle. It has hit in eight of Pittsburgh's past 10 after a loss.

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