As we head into Week 11, the NFL injury landscape isn’t as devastating as it has been over the last weeks, but there are still multiple injuries to take note of, and some that are moving the NFL odds.
Peyton Manning has been playing pretty badly this season according to his standards, and it all culminated last week when he was removed from the game. At the time, it just looked like a benching because of his bad play, however, about 48 hours ago, it was made public that Manning has a partially torn plantar fascia, and will miss the Broncos’ Week 11 game against the Bears in Chicago. That means that Brock Osweiler is set to start for Denver, and the NFL Odds have reacted to this news, putting the Bears as -1 favorites, with a total of 41 points.
If the injury is the sole reason that Manning was playing badly, the Broncos would be wise to give him some time off to repair and rest his foot. Denver is not going to win a Super Bowl this season without Manning at least close to 100 percent, and even with Osweiler starting in this one, Denver might hold some value in this game. While Chicago has been undervalued at times this season, they might be changing back to their old ways of the sportsbooks overvaluing them, in hopes of taking advantage of the squares that think you should fade the Broncos automatically in this one on your NFL picks. If Osweiler can move the ball with any sort of consistency, the Broncos’ defense is going to give the Bears enough trouble that Osweiler might lead the Broncos to a win both SU and ATS.
The Patriots don’t play until Monday night against the Bills, but either way they will be without Julian Edelman this week and likely for the rest of the regular season after their number one receiver broke his foot in Week 10. Without Edelman, the Patriots’ NFL odds haven’t really shifted, as they are still a -7 favorite at home against Buffalo this week.
While Edelman’s loss will be felt for the rest of the season, with the way things are going for the Pats this season, even without him, their chances of losing out on home field advantage, or even a first round bye are slim at this point. Plus, they have plenty of options as well. Danny Amendola will fill in nicely for Edelman along with Brandon LaFell, and while those two aren’t as dynamic as Edelman, combined they provide very similar skillsets. Don’t feel too sorry for the Patriots, I know it’s hard not to.
While this injury doesn’t have as big of an effect on the NFL Odds, it does appear to at the very least keeping the sportbooks on their toes. Sam Bradford has a concussion and a separated shoulder after the Eagles’ Week 10 game, and with it looking like he won’t be able to play this week, the Eagles are going to have to go with Mark Sanchez instead.
The NFL Odds recognize this, and even though Bradford hasn’t been good, the books aren’t expecting much from Sanchez either. After opening at -7, the NFL Odds for this one have dropped to -5 ½ in favor of the Eagles, and while some books have the number at -6, I doubt any team in this game is a good wager. With the unknown of what Sanchez brings to the table, it might be wise to lay off this game entirely.