Kansas City Chiefs vs. Minnesota Vikings Week 6 Free NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Sunday, October 18, 2015 11:13 AM GMT

KC have lost their last four games, but even worse, they lost Jamaal Charles for the season. How will they handle a matchup in Minnesota with the Vikings, who are coming off a bye

Opening Odds & Line Movement

Open: -3.5 +111 at Pinnacle
Minnesota opened as a 3.5-point favorite at home and the NFL odds have moved to -4 now, and this line seems a little low. However, there is still a lot of respect for the Chiefs' defense, which is ranked 26th but it is much better than that on paper. Minnesota's offense is ranked 23rd in yards for, but they're second in rushing and have played much better since focusing on Adrian Peterson, who is averaging 5.0 yards a carry.

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Injuries
There are few players in the league that are as valuable to their team as Charles was to the Chiefs, and his torn ACL was an absolutely massive blow. He was their best weapon and he could catch passes as well as run the ball, and now the Chiefs will have to replace him with a combination of Knile Davis and Charcandrick West. To make matters worse, NT Dontari Poe has a high-ankle sprain and will likely miss out on this game, which is a blow to Kansas City's interior defense.

The Vikings could be light on wide receivers as Mike Wallace has a knee injury, and Charles Johnson is being bothered by his ribs. Neither practiced on Monday, so that could be an issue going into this game, making Minnesota's offense even more one-dimensional. But with the injury to Poe, that job might be easier.

 

Trends
The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and 1-5 ATS in their last six on the road. The Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven at home.

Kansas City is 4-1 SU and 3-1-1 ATS in five meetings since 1996 and in Minnesota, the Chiefs are 2-2 SU and 1-2 ATS in four games.

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