Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos Free NFL Pick for Week 10

David Lawrence

Friday, November 13, 2015 7:24 PM GMT

The Chiefs are 3-5 & coming off their bye, they would love to avenge a brutal Week 2 loss to Denver. However, the Broncos are now 7-1, coming off a loss and playing at home, so they should be angry.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open: -7 +104 at Pinnacle
The NFL odds for this AFC West showdown opened up at -7 for the Broncos, but it moved down to -6.5, then -6, back to -6.5, down to -6 and it is now at -5.5. The Broncos ran out of big players in a loss by a field goal in Indianapolis and a week after dominating Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay, the defense struggled against Andrew Luck and the Colts. The Chiefs won two in a row at home over Pittsburgh and Detroit, allowing 23 combined points, and they have three divisional road games over the next four weeks that will probably make or break this season. Kansas City's defense hasn't been consistent this season, but when they're at the top of their game, they're one of the best in the league.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Spread

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Chiefs vs. Broncos Totals

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Chiefs vs. Broncos Money Line

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Injuries
The Chiefs should be healthy coming out of the bye outside of, of course, the long-term knee injury to RB Jamaal Charles. However, Charcandrick West has been very good in his absence, which means the Chiefs can continue to play their style.

QB Peyton Manning didn't practice for the second week in a row and this time, it was a foot injury. But it might be just rest for the 39-year-old, who continues to struggle. Manning has 13 picks, which is the most in the league and he has thrown one in every game this season; multiple in four of the last five. WR Emmanuel Sanders didn't practice on Wednesday as well because of his injured, while DE DeMarcus Ware has a back injury that'll keep him out for 2-4 weeks. CB Aqib Talib is suspended for his eye poke against the Colts, and he'll miss a game.

 

Trends
The Chiefs are 3-5 ATS in 2015, and they've covered in just one of their four road games. The Broncos are 5-2-1 ATS this season, but 2-1 ATS at home. The total has dropped from 42.5 to 41.5, and the Broncos have gone under four times (along with a push), while the Chiefs have gone over five times.

The Broncos are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Chiefs, who haven't beat Denver SU since Manning joined in 2012. The Chiefs are also 2-8 SU and 5-5 ATS in their last 10 visits to Denver.

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