Jets vs. Titans NFL Player Props, Odds: Will Garrett Wilson Struggle?
The New York Jets and Tennessee Titans are coming off losses in Week 1, and each team looks to notch its first win of the season on Sunday afternoon.
While the Jets, who sit ninth in the Super Bowl odds, and Titans both lost their season openers, they did so in dramatically different fashion.
Tennessee gift-wrapped its game to the Chicago Bears after racing out to a 17-0 lead and allowing 24 unanswered points, 14 of which the offense and special teams spotted them.
Meanwhile, New York was non-competitive in a 32-19 loss to the San Francisco 49ers, with its defense allowing eight straight scoring drives.
How do these two teams’ performances in Week 1 factor into our Jets vs. Titans player props from our best NFL betting sites?
Jets vs. Titans NFL player prop bets: Sunday
Odds as of Friday and subject to change.
- Tony Pollard Under 50.5 rushing yards (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Garrett Wilson Under 70.5 receiving yards (-108 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Tyler Conklin anytime touchdown scorer (+360 via Caesars) ⭐⭐
NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Tony Pollard Under 50.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Any time a line looks this curiously low, I'm supporting the Under. This play is backed with my most confident five-star rating.
Tony Pollard was the lone bright spot offensively for Tennessee last week, rushing for 82 yards and a touchdown. He was explosive early with 8.1 yards per carry in the first quarter. He made good on his top-ranked PFF grade among all running backs from Week 10 on last season.
The Over on all Pollard’s props will be the popular side since the Jets' run defense allowed 147 yards to 49ers backup running back Jordan Mason. However, New York’s defense was given a lot more to worry about last week with all of San Francisco’s weapons in the passing game.
Now this week Pollard’s 61% snap share doesn't scream “workhorse back," as backfield mate Tyjae Spears was also on the field 45% of the time in Week 1.
All of the other best sportsbooks are setting Pollard's total at 49.5 rushing yards. Under backers are getting the best number at bet365, where a winning $10 wager would pay out $18.70 as part of our NFL Week 2 predictions.
Best odds: -115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 53.49%
Garrett Wilson Under 70.5 receiving yards (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Garrett Wilson established an instant rapport with Aaron Rodgers, leading the team in targets (11) and even drawing three red-zone looks.
And Wilson’s final stat line of six catches for 60 yards looks more impressive when considering New York only possessed the ball for a little over 21 minutes while running 49 total plays against San Francisco.
The reason for pessimism entering this week is twofold.
L’Jarius Sneed, Tennessee’s prized offseason acquisition, produced elite stats when against the nearest defender last season, according to Next Gen Stats.
Sneed ranked first among all defensive backs in yards per target allowed at 5.0, and he was tied for first with zero touchdowns permitted. He also ranked second with a 55.5 passer rating allowed, and Sneed only gave up a 50% completion percentage (ranked third). Sneed will likely be in shadow coverage against New York’s top target, and the anticipated weather (62% chance of rain) should affect both teams’ passing attacks.
Wilson’s Under of 70.5 receiving yards carries as high as a 54.55% implied probability based on BetMGM’s -120 odds. But I'm opting for the maximum value at Caesars, where a winning $10 wager would return $9.26 in profits.
Best odds: -108 via Caesars | Implied probability: 51.92%
Tyler Conklin anytime touchdown scorer (+360) ⭐⭐
Tyler Conklin’s Week 1 stat line (one catch for six yards on two targets) does not lead to confidence when first looking at his anytime touchdown odds.
But Conklin was in theory involved in the passing game with a 90% route participation (tied for second among all tight ends last week). Also, Wilson has logged just one touchdown reception in his last 16 games.
There's absolutely no reason why Conklin should be getting worse odds than Jets backup running back Braelon Allen (his odds are as short as +320 at DraftKings), who received just one carry in Week 1.
Conklin is being given a one-in-four chance to score a touchdown based off bet365’s +300 odds. But I stand to return $6 more in profits ($36 compared to $30) when placing this wager at Caesars.
Best odds: +360 via Caesars | Implied probability: 21.74%
Jets vs. Titans odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Jets vs. Titans game info
- When: Sunday, Sept. 15
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Where: Nissan Stadium (Nashville, Tenn.)
- How to watch: CBS
- Weather: 79 degrees, 62% chance of precipitation, wind 8 mph ESE
- Favorite: Jets (-200 via BetMGM)
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