Jets vs. Patriots - Is The Market Overcooked?

New England Patriots' Jacoby Brissett celebrating with his teammates during a game

Tuesday, December 20, 2016 5:35 PM GMT

Patriots are runaway favorites to ride roughshod over the Jets but is the market overcooked? We weigh in and serve up choice SU, ATS, and Total picks.

  

N.Y. Jets vs New England Patriots

 

Point Spread Value

The Patriots are almost certain to take over the AFC top seed so long as they win this penultimate clash in the regular season. By all accounts they should and if the NFL odds were any indication in a big way. The Patriots are the only double-digit favorites on the board and it’s likely they’ll remain so. To their own credit and the fact that the Jets are downright awful this season. It’s no accident the Patriots are 11-3-0 ATS on the season with a 9.4 winning margin and +3.8 differential versus the spread. They’ve covered four of their last five games, twice covering double-digit spreads (-10.5 over the Niners and -13.0 over the Rams). Given the Jets are in the same category, the Patriots might well be trusted with the hefty NFL line on offer.

 

Free NFL Pick: Patriots -16.5 (-101)

Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011411, "sportsbooksIds":[238,180,442,123,186], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

 

 

The Survivor

This market doesn’t even warrant a second thought. Patriots, Patriots, Patriots all the way. Color the world shocked if they don’t win this game at the Foxboro. As such, NFL bettors will be hard pressed to find odds that warrant a tickle unless they have silly money to play with for week 16 NFL picks.

 

Free NFL Pick: Patriots -1329

Best Line Offered: at Heritage

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011411, "sportsbooksIds":[169,442,349,999993,23], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

 

Game Total

Although the Patriots are winning games by decent margins their defense is holding opposing offenses to limited scores. The end result is a 5-9-0 OVER record that goes against what many NFL bettors might expect in total betting markets. Add to that the fact that the Jets pack a toddler’s punch and it’s quite likely this game will stay firmly UNDER the total on the NFL odds board.

 

Free NFL Pick: Under 44 (-105)

Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011411, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,999996,442,180], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]