Jets vs. Colts: NFL Week 3 Picks and Game Predictions

Jets vs. Colts: NFL Week 3 Picks and Game Predictions

The NY Jets are set to take on the Indianapolis Colts in Week 3, but the NFL odds are stacked against the Jets in both SU and ATS betting markets.

New York Jets vs. Indianapolis Colts

Sunday, September 27, 2020 – 4:05 PM EST at Lucas Oil Stadium

NY Jets Biggest Underdogs of Week 3

The NY Jets can’t seem to buy a win no matter how hard they try, prompting bookmakers across various sports betting outlets to roll out one of the heftiest point spreads of the coming week, with the hapless Jets hovering in double-digit obscurity.

Lookahead NFL lines last week had the Jets projected on 6.5-points or thereabouts, but after Adam Gase’s Jets succumbed to a 31-13 loss last Sunday – to a hobbled San Francisco 49ers team playing with a backup quarterback for the second half of the game, no less – the NFL line promptly jumped out to 10.5 points this week. And since sports betting markets opened doors, the NFL line has moved by up by another half-a-point.

To say the Jets are in dire straits doesn’t do justice to the shambolic mess that they’ve made of their first two starts in 2020. The Jets are 0-2-0 SU and ATS, with a 14-point losing margin on average and a -7.2 – only the Houston Texans have a worse losing margin after two weeks.

Coaching quality is the first to blame when a team shows signs of struggle. This becomes more prominent when reoccurring trends are involved. Last season, the Jets burst out of the gates with a woeful 1-7 SU mark before turning things around in the second half of the season.

That they’ve crawled out of the gates this year with as much verve and swagger as slugs racing in the garden— ready, steady, slow–-many NFL bettors are starting to contemplate the seriousness of Adam Gase’s odds to be the first NFL coach fired this season.

Is it fair to blame only the head coach? Is there something to be said about the quality of quarterbacking, or lack thereof, that could be the root cause of the problem? Is it the sum total of all the parts that are questionable? The problems plaguing the Jets seem to be a little bit of everything.

Sam Darnold is a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma. Entering his third year in the NFL, Darnold is well behind his counterparts; including Josh Allen, who the Jets passed on in favour of their choice. His development, growth, and maturation in the position leave much to be desired. Darnold is averaging merely 197 yards per game and has 2 TDs and 1 INT for his efforts thus far. Then there is that infamous moment last year, when, against the Patriots, a mic-ed up Darnold admitted to seeing ghosts…

Through two games of the season, the Jets’ scoring offense is ranked 31st with an average of 15 points per game scored, which is under the 17.2 points they averaged in 2019. Having said that the Jets offense is riddled with injuries: Le’Veon Bell is on injury reserve, while Chris Hogan, Jamison Crowder, and Breshad Perriman are all listed as questionable. The side is scraping the bottom of the barrel on offense.

On the flip side, the defense is more porous than a sieve, allowing an average of 29 points per game – the 8th highest in the league. The Jets let go of Jamal Adams in the offseason, which is proving to be a huge loss seeing how formidable the safety was in last week’s game against New England. He was practically buzzing after earning his first win over Bill Belichick and the Patriots.

Indianapolis Colts Bounce Back in Week 2

The Colts bounced back in Week 2 with a solid 28-11 victory over the Minnesota Vikings, coming through as the closing -3.5-point faves. The win did a lot to raise Indianapolis’ stock value in NFL betting markets, almost erasing the memory of the surprising 27-20 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars in week 1.

In his first two starts with the Colts, Philip Rivers is averaging 288.5 passing yards per game, with 2TDs and 3 INT. Rivers lifted the Colts to a 17-14 lead over the Jags in the first half, but then the Colts were outscored in the second half 13-3. In Rivers’ second start, the Colts played better on both sides of the ball, taking the 17-point victory over the Vikings.

The Colts suffered a costly injury to the offense, losing Marlon Mack for the season in week 1. However, the two-punch duo of Jonathan Taylor and Jordan Wilkins proved able in filling the void, combining for 141 yards on 35 carries in the victory over the Vikings.

The defense did give Kirk Cousins and the Vikings O-line headaches, forcing three INTs, all the while holding Cousins to zero TDs. It marked a significant improvement to Week 1 when they allowed Gardiner Minshew to toss three TDs and gobble up passing yards galore.

Philip Rivers #17 of the Indianapolis Colts. Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images/AFP

NFL Betting Verdict

The clash between the Jets and Colts represents the only double-digit spread of the week. It’s no secret that double-digit spreads can be off-putting and should be approached with caution. It’s a lot of points to cover, particularly by the chalk, which in this case is Indianapolis at home.

Yes, the Colts haven’t wowed anyone, by any stretch of the imagination, and the offense has some way to go before it gels with Philip Rivers. And yet, at the same time, the Jets are impressively mediocre. So much so, that it’s impossible to see how Sam Darnold and the Jets offense will make a fist of this game if only to make it remotely competitive and cover the spread, never mind winning this game. As such, laying the points with the Colts – as daunting as the point spread is right now – seems to be the better play for our NFL picks. Go big or go home, as the saying goes.

NFL Picks: Colts -550 with Heritage (visit our Heritage Review)

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