Jets vs. Bills 9-15-16 | Thursday Night Football Pick & Odds

Jets teammate kicking ball

Wednesday, September 14, 2016 4:00 PM GMT

Thursday Night Football features an AFC East showdown between the visiting New York Jets and their hosts, the Buffalo Bills. Let's review the NFL odds and cash a ticket.

Jets Fall Short
Normally when the NFL betting odds makers make one team or the other a one-point favorite it very rarely makes a difference in terms of an ATS cover. But last week the Jets were installed as one-point home dogs and this time, it was the difference between a loss and a push for all of those who backed New York in their NFL picks.

It looked good early for the Jets as Ryan Fitzpatrick connected on a pair of touchdown strikes in the first half but he did little after that. Ultimately, it was the Bengals Mike Nugent who connected on a 47-yard field goal with 54 seconds remaining. That was enough to give the Cats a 23-22 road win and send the Jets' home crowd muttering to themselves about another heartbreaking defeat.

 

Bills Look for Five Straight Over Jets
The Bills have won their last four games spanning the last two seasons over their AFC East rivals, the New York Jets. Last season the Bills came out on top by identical 22-17 scores and will try to repeat that on Thursday night. Despite their pair of wins over the Jets last season the Bills were a disappointing 8-8 in Rex Ryan's first season in Buffalo but Ryan's former team ended the 2015 campaign with a 10-6 mark and held second place in the AFC East behind perennial division champions, the New England Patriots.

The Bills defense looked like they were in midseason form against Joe Flacco and the Baltimore Ravens. Unfortunately, their offense appeared as though they were still in spring training. When the dust settled the Bills fell 13-7 as Buffalo's air and ground attack were neutralized all afternoon long by a swarming Ravens rush.

 

Betting Analysis
The line on this game has plunged since the oddsmakers opened the Bills as three-point home chalk. But as of this Tuesday night writing most of the offshore shops are dealing this one at a pick with the lone exception of Bovada that has actually moved to the other side of the ledger and installed the Jets as one-point road favorites.  It appears the sharps and the squares are uniting on Gang Green as they roll into Buffalo. What I can't understand is why the Jets were ever given a field goal head start in the first place?

Let's face it folks, Ryan Fitzpatrick may not be the answer for the Jets but he is just serviceable enough to allow New York to compete. Matt Forte looked like he never left Chicago as the dual threat hammered away for 96 yards on the ground and 59 yards receiving. The offense had a decent day against a tough Bengals defense. And speaking of defense, the Jets were immense in their pursuit of a defenseless Andy Dalton. The Jets sacked him an eye-popping seven times with second year down lineman Leonard Williams coming alive for 2 ½ sacks and six tackles.

I can't even imagine what they are going to do against a beleaguered Tyrod Taylor who will most likely be without his left tackle Cordy Glenn and a hobbled Sammy Watkins. The injury to Glenn may be even more damning than the dinged up Watkins' foot. Yes, he is that important to keeping Taylor standing upright but if the Jets bring the same kind of heat that they brought last week then it is see you later time.

The only reason the Jets lost last week is because of the pass/catch combination of Andy Dalton and AJ Green. Let's be clear, Tyrod Taylor and Sammy Watkins are not the same animals, particularly with Watkins at 60 percent due to his injury. I'll take the visitors for my Thursday night football 2016 picks.

 

Free NFL Pick: Jets -1 -105
Best Line Offered: at Heritage
Swingers' 2016 NFL Record: 5-1, (+3.9 units)

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