How will the Jaguars handle the pressure of being a marquee team in 2018? They are slated to play in five nationally televised slots, including a pair in prime-time. Here is a look at the complete schedule and few choice betting spots.
Below you will find the Jaguars’ straight-up and against-the-spread records from last year’s NFL regular season, including average margin of victory, 2017 average odds, 2017 win totals and 2018 pre-scheduled figures, and projected strength of schedule using opponents’ combined record from 2017.
2017 SU Record: 10-6 (9.3 avg. margin)
2017 ATS Record: 9-7 (6.9 avg. margin)
2017 Average Line: -2.4
2017 Win Total: 6.5 (-125)
2018 Win Total 5Dimes (pre-schedule): 8.5 (-150)
2018 Strength of Schedule: T-25, opponents were 122-134 (.477)
Three Games to Back ATS
@Giants, Week 1
Jacksonville czar Tom Coughlin returns to New York to face a Giants squad breaking in new leadership behind first-year head coach Pat Shurmur. The Jags are favored by 3.5 points on the NFL oddsboard. New NFL coaches do not fare so hot in the betting market catching points in their debut, particularly against good teams. Check out our Giants schedule preview to see some stats.
Patriots, Week 2
Quarterback Blake Bortles catches a lot of heat for his substandard play, but he tends to perform best against the league’s toughest defenses. Since 2014, the Jags average 24.0 points per game with Bortles under center against units surrendering fewer than 21 points per game the previous season. They are 9-12 SU, but 14-7 ATS in this span, covering the last nine straight thanks to a much-improved defense.
Eagles (London), Week 8
Five of the Eagles’ 12 losses behind head coach Doug Pederson have come in nine matchups with opponents owning a 3.65 average margin of victory or higher the previous season. Jacksonville owns an 8.2 rate. Away from Lincoln Financial Field, they are 1-4 SU, scoring 20 points or less in each defeat. London is the Jag’s second home, having played in the city five years in a row. Are they comfortable with the trip? You bet. The team has won and put up 34, 30, and 44 points in their last three.
Three Games to Fade ATS
Titans, Week 3; @Chiefs, Week 5; Texans, Week 7
The one weak spot with Jags defense is stopping the run. It allowed 4.3 yards per carry in 2017, 23rd most in the league. Five of the team’s seven defeats occurred in nine games where they faced an opponent averaging greater than 4.0 per rush the year before. In 2016, Todd Wash’s first season as coordinator, the Jags went 0-4 SU in this situation. Jacksonville was 3-6 ATS overall last year, catching a touchdown in two covers against the Steelers. They’ll lay points or get a much smaller handicap in the games singled out above. Fade.
Trap Game Potential
@Bills, Week 12
Not only does Buffalo fit the efficient run-game angle noted above, but the Jags are coming off a much-anticipated Steelers rematch. Pittsburgh, always a physical opponent, has revenge on their mind after dropping two to Jax in 2017. Expect preparation, atmosphere, and effort to rival that of a playoff game. A let down the following weak is understandable.