In our Into The Weekend with BetDSI show for January 3rd, Brent and I discussed the four NFL Wild Card games, as well as the final college bowls, including the BCS Championship.
There hasn’t been a whole lot of sharp action on the Wild Card games as yet according to Brent, which is not a huge surprise considering that you would expect these betting lines to be relatively tight. There has been some, though. Most of it has had to do with the numbers, where sharp action has jumped in a bit once a line was offered on or off a key number.
On the big and much-debated Seattle/Washington game though, there has been sharp action on both sides of the money line, and by reading all the strong opinions on that game since the line came out, a lot of public bettors believe they are seeing good value one way or the other as well.
With the remaining bowl games, the most interesting action to me seems to be coming in on the totals, where there has been sharp action that has mostly disagreed with the public action. I would tend to believe that in general, the sharp action on the totals on the remaining bowls games is worth tailing right now, even at the current numbers, since Brent says the public action on those games has prevented the lines from moving much.
In the BCS Championship game, the sharp action has moved both the side and the total from the opening lines, and there hasn’t been much action coming back the other way, as yet. That could easily change by kickoff though, and I personally have a feeling the spread on the game will close closer to 7 than where it is right now, close to 10. But we’ll see!
Check out our popular weekly show, where Brent goes into detail about the betting volume and sharp/public splits of all these events and more!