Brent told me that he will probably be in the unusual position of needing win by the champ as a big favorite. The opposite is overwhelmingly the norm for most books, but in this case, the public loving to bet against the champ is what will cause this situation. I noted that that felt similar to Super Bowl action, where public action can overwhelm sharp action and cause unusual risk management situations for the books.
And even in college football betting this week, there is a similar situation. The Alabama/Texas A&M game is so huge that Brent is actually seeing unusual action where big money is coming in on a side that is not necessarily sharp money. And as always, there are a selection of sides where there is a stark public/sharp split on the action, as well as a few sides with the dangerous situation for books where the public and sharps are betting the same way.
In NFL week 2, there are not the large number of public-backed small road faves that we saw in Week 1, but there are a number of big home faves that will almost certainly wind up being big public teaser sides. If all of those sides cover their teaser spreads, it will be a disastrous week for the books. But if one or two of them go bust, the books should make out well in the NFL this weekend.