Injuries & Set-backs Impacting Your NFL Betting

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, September 16, 2014 5:57 PM GMT

Have we ever seen a week like last week in the NFL? Everywhere you looked, there was bad news including significant injuries. Let's see how they may affect NFL odds.

Robert Griffin III, QB, & DeSean Jackson, WR, Redskins
I think it's now officially OK to call Griffin brittle. He was lost in Sunday's rout of Jacksonville to a dislocated ankle, but an MRI on Monday did show good news as there was no fracture that would have ended his season. He should be able to return in perhaps 6-8 weeks, although will he still be the team's starter? Reports are that new coach Jay Gruden prefers backup Kirk Cousins, and if he plays well then things will get very interesting in D.C. Sunday was the fourth time in 31 NFL games that Griffin has had to leave a game because of an injury. Jackson injured the AC joint in his left shoulder in the first quarter of Sunday's game, suffering the injury just a few plays after Griffin's. However, Jackson could play this week and you know he wants to because it's against his former Eagles team that embarrassed Jackson by cutting him this past offseason. The Eagles opened as 7-point home favorites and will be on a short week after playing in Indianapolis on Monday night.

 

A.J. Green, WR, Bengals
The AFC's best receiver was lost early in Sunday's impressive Bengals win over the Falcons. He didn't make a catch before leaving, the first time in his career he hasn't caught a pass in a game he appeared in. Green is dealing with turf toe and probably won't play this week at home against Tennessee. The Bengals opened as 7-point favorites. Green had six catches for 131 yards and the game-winning TD in Week 1. Expect running back Gio Bernard to be heavily featured in the passing game again with Green out. Bernard has led the team in targets each of the first two games.

 

Adrian Peterson, RB, Vikings
Peterson didn't get hurt in Week 2 because the Vikings deactivated him against the Patriots after he was indicted Friday on charges of reckless or negligent injury to a child in Texas. Peterson disciplined his 4-year-old son by using a switch to spank him. Honestly, that's somewhat common in the deep South but the photos of the boy after the incident were troubling. Peterson already has been reactivated and thus should play Sunday in New Orleans, with the desperate Saints opening at -9.5. That line would likely jump at least a few points if for some reason Peterson isn't in the lineup. The Minnesota offense looked inept without him against New England.

 

Mark Ingram, RB, Saints
Speaking of the Saints, they have lost the former Heisman Trophy winner for at least a month due to a hand injury. It's a shame because Ingram hadn't come close to living up to expectations in his career but looked good early this season. He had carried 24 times for 143 yards and three touchdowns. Ingram also had four catches.

 

Ryan Mathews, RB, Chargers
Big loss for San Diego as Mathews will miss 4-5 weeks with an MCL sprain. Mathews' backup is Donald Brown and he's a downgrade. Could also mean more of scatback Danny Woodhead, although he's more of a receiver. San Diego is a 1-point dog at surprising Buffalo on Sunday.

 

Knowshon Moreno, RB, Dolphins
Moreno, off to a strong start in his first season with the Dolphins, suffered a dislocated elbow and possible fracture on his first carry of Sunday's loss to Buffalo. The Dolphins ran for 191 yards in their opener behind Moreno but just 81 yards on 20 carries against the Bills. Lamar Miller takes over as the featured back. He suffered a minor ankle injury vs. Buffalo but should be OK. The Dolphins are -4 this week against visiting Kansas City.

 

Jamaal Charles, RB, Chiefs
Speaking of Kansas City, its entire offense is this guy. Charles suffered a high ankle sprain in the Chiefs' loss Sunday at Denver. He left after only two first-quarter carries for four yards. His status is still TBA for this week at Miami. That -4 will grow if Charles doesn't play, all due respect to backup Knile Davis.

 

Charles Tillman, CB, Bears
The Chicago defense simply isn't very good as it is, and the Bears have lost Tillman, easily their best cover guy, for the rest of the season. It's the second year in a row that he was lost to a right triceps injury and it could mean the end of the 33-year-old's career. The two-time Pro Bowler has started 156 games in his career, the third most in Bears history. That means 2014 first-round pick Kyle Fuller becomes a starter instead of the nickelback. Fuller had two picks of Colin Kaepernick in Sunday's night's surprising comeback win over the 49ers. Chicago is going to be in a lot of shootouts even more so now. The Bears are +1 for next Monday at the Jets. 

 

Marcedes Lewis, TE, Jaguars
Jacksonville stinks again and will be perhaps even stinkier for the next 6-8 weeks without Lewis, who has a severe high left ankle sprain. At the time of his injury against Washington, the Jaguars had only 87 yards of total offense -- 63 of those coming on a touchdown pass to Lewis from Chad Henne. Lewis is tied for the team lead with eight catches. He's also a good run blocker. Last year he missed the first six games (except for three plays) and the Jags were 0-6 while averaging less than 61 yards rushing per game. Jacksonville is last in rushing already this year. The Jags are +6.5 this week vs. Indy.

 

Carson Palmer, QB, Cardinals
Palmer was a bit of a surprise scratch from Sunday's game against the Giants with a nerve injury in his right shoulder. Palmer says he has no idea when he might return. Could be this week, or it could be a few. Arizona hosts what will be an angry 49ers team on Sunday and Drew Stanton appears in line to start. He was 14 of 29 for 167 yard in the win over New York but he's a clear downgrade to Palmer. The Cards are +2.5 vs. the Niners but look for that number to grow if Palmer for sure sits. 

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