Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans Free Week 3 NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Saturday, September 26, 2015 3:55 PM GMT

It is not that Indianapolis is 0-2, because anyone can lose at any time in the NFL. It is that they've been dominated by Buffalo and the New York Jets, the latter at home where the Colts are usually very good. The Colts will be aiming to avoid an 0-3 start when they travel to 1-1 Tennessee, who are playing their first home game of 2015 after romping in Tampa Bay and then losing in Cleveland.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open:
-4 -105 at Pinnacle

The Colts are still favored here at -3.5 according to the NFL odds despite how they've played. That's what happens when you have a QB like Andrew Luck, even though he has five picks in his first two games. The jury is obviously still out on the Titans and Marcus Mariota, who came back to earth a little after his historic debut against the Buccaneers, but it isn't like he was terrible against the Browns, going 21-of-37 for 257 yards and two touchdowns, and he has yet to throw a pick in the NFL.

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Injuries
The Colts' secondary could be in trouble as CBs Darius Butler (hip) and Vontae Davis (concussion) could miss this game, while TE Dwayne Allen is questionable with an ankle injury. The Colts would love to report injuries on their offensive line because they'd have an excuse for being so bad, but there are none.

The biggest concern for the Titans is TE Delanie Walker, who has a bad wrist, but he has aimed to return for this week's showdown with Tennessee's AFC South rivals. Walker said recently that the Titans have to stop allowing the Colts to dominate the division, and you'd think he would want to be on the field to back up those words.

 

Trends
The Colts haven't been great when it comes to covering the spread, going 3-5-1 ATS in their last nine, but it's better than the Titans, who have covered just once in their last eight. The under could be popular as the Colts have gone under in each of their last five games, while the Titans have in four of their last six.

Indy is 9-1 SU in their last 10 against the Titans, and they're 7-3 ATS; they've won and covered in each of their last seven meetings. On the road, the Colts are 7-3 SU and 5-5 ATS in Tennessee.

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